Set?

Set mostly, and overpair the rest right?

I put him on QQ+, maybe 99? Is a fold good? Can someone run me through the math?


STAGE #756463336: HOLDEM NO LIMIT $0.10 - 2007-09-08 01:33:44 (ET)
Table: HAMPTON AVE (Real Money) Seat #6 is the dealer
Seat 6 - LANCERS1630 ($2.80 in chips)
Seat 1 - RAKEMAN236 ($30.76 in chips)
Seat 2 - UNIBOMBER14 ($26.43 in chips)
Seat 4 - LP_PLAYER ($10.55 in chips)
Seat 5 - QUEENRA3245 ($7.25 in chips)
RAKEMAN236 - Posts small blind $0.05
UNIBOMBER14 - Posts big blind $0.10
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to UNIBOMBER14 [8h 8d]
LP_PLAYER - Folds
QUEENRA3245 - Calls $0.10
LANCERS1630 - Calls $0.10
RAKEMAN236 - Raises $1.35 to $1.40
UNIBOMBER14 - Calls $1.30
QUEENRA3245 - Folds
LANCERS1630 - Folds
*** FLOP *** [9s 6h 4h]
RAKEMAN236 - Bets $3.90
UNIBOMBER14 - Raises $9 to $9
RAKEMAN236 - All-In(Raise) $25.46 to $29.36

I think his range is larger than that 10 10+. How is he playing his draws? What are his stats? His overbet on the flop suggest he doesn't have a draw, but it's possible. More probably you have 2 outs against an overpair. I fold unless I have a read that a large enough percentage of his range is make up of smaller PPs and unpaired overcards.

Well hes been a coherent story the whole way through that hes strong so unless you have a read that he gets tricky (i.e. bluffs / slowplays) then its a really easy fold. Even if youve seen him bluff once or twice this is a pretty easy fold. The only way you could call is if you had a read that he plays backwards (Always slowplays big hands / always bluffs shite + draws) and even then most draws on this board that he would raise preflop have alot of equity against 88 with at least one overcard. You arent even ahead of A X after a PFR since X is almost always going to be bigger than an 8.

if youre going to do anything here you'd call the flop, but raising it up after all those limpers suggests he has a big hand.

I forgot to say I think the best way to play it is to assume he has a hand preflop and then just set or forget (unless youve seen him open this much preflop before).

calling the flop and raising a lot of turn cards seems better, a lot of scare cards come in on the turn.

This is an easy fold. I would set or forget here. His massive raise pre-flop and push over on the flop is an overpair.

Easy fold is what I went for.

On a side note, I misclicked the call button and won when he showed 33. My first good misclick ever.