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Should I have cbet here, also sizing
BB ($63.60)
UTG ($94.38)
MP ($61.59)
CO ($100.66)
Hero (Button) ($76.96)
SB ($50)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 9s, 9c
1 fold, MP bets $1.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $5, 2 folds, MP raises to $11, Hero calls $6
Flop: ($22.75) 2d, As, Ah (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $20, MP calls $20
Turn: ($62.75) 8d (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks
River: ($62.75) 4c (2 players)
MP bets $30.59 (All-In), Hero folds
Total pot: $62.75 | Rake: $2.50
Villian is 17/14 and 3bets 6%. He folds to flop cbets about 50%. He seems pretty solid generally.
His initial raise gives him {AA-22, AJo-AKo, ATs-AKs, KQ, JQs} then after I raise with position his reraise gives him premiums like {AK, AA-QQ}
So his range when the flop comes is 34 combos, all of which beat me, but 12 of which are behind if I have an ace.
When he checks the flop to me, I fire out a cbet for almost the pot figuring he's unlikely to fold to a smaller cbet with KK/QQ.
When he calls, then checks the turn back to me, I just give up since he doesn't fold to turn cbets a lot (30% or so).
Where did I go wrong in this hand? I was getting 2.8:1 to call the final preflop bet, but should I have just folded to his 4bet preflop and not tried to outplay him post? Should the flop texture have guided my decision?
One reason I probably didn't check behind the flop was that although I wasn't especially confident that he'd lay down KK or QQ to a flop cbet, I didn't really have a plan for what I was going to do on the turn if he bet after I checked behind. I probably felt like check/folding was weak.
Perhaps, starting at the beginning of my fuckup, I should never have 3bet him preflop at all. He's tight, and I don't have a hand that beats most of his range for raising even in the cutoff, but I did have position and a good bit of fold equity since he folds 60% to 3bets pre.
Another line is that I could have called his 4bet pre then setmined and checked behind the flop for a free card, when it didn't hit, I could have planned to fold to a turn bet.
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