Std hand vs fish, im either stupid or sleep deprived.

Opponent is fishy. 45/22 over 123 hands. Is this a standard double barrel? The flop has to be really scary for him and I don't really think he floats a lot here.


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (6 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($600)
SB ($636)
Hero (BB) ($773.50)
UTG ($762.45)
MP ($1167)
CO ($528.70)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, Q
1 fold, MP raises to $21, 3 folds, Hero raises to $76, MP calls $55

Flop: ($155) Q, K, 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $70, MP calls $70

Turn: ($295) 6 (2 players)
Hero wonders what he should do.

If we are behind we have still 9-14 outs.
I don't think a 2barril is good on this board for the reasons you mention.
For me: c/c > c/f > b/c > b/f

Check/call any reasonable bet from him. I think you have to start thinking about this as a hand where you are drawing or trying to get to a cheap showdown.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.545% 40.00% 09.55% 440 105.00 { AcQc }
Hand 1: 50.455% 40.91% 09.55% 450 105.00 { JJ+, AQs, AQo+ }


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1,232 games 0.031 secs 39,741 games/sec

Board: Qs Kc 7s 6c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 46.185% 37.66% 08.52% 464 105.00 { AcQc }
Hand 1: 53.815% 45.29% 08.52% 558 105.00 { JJ+, 77, AQs, AQo+ }

i like a 2nd barrel. have you seen any hands he's called a 3 bet with?

checkraise (thought I may as well throw in another option)

I'd prob bet 80 on the flop if I bet although thats ticky tack.

That being said I'd check the flop here. As played c/c, if it checks through vbet most rivers. I'd probably check fold river if it doesnt check through unless we hit our gin cards.

Tough to do anything other than check the turn given how narrow his range is. I agree calling a reasonable bet, too.

I don't think his range is that narrow, He is quite loose, judging by his stats.

He just called your 3 bet in position, then just flatted your less than half pot bet on the draw heavy flop.

I'd say he has a pretty wide range here, with KJ being the very top of his range.

I'd C/C or C/R depending on timing and his betsizing (more likely to C/R if he bets small)

I'd be more on the flop but it's also a good one to check since you have so many blockers and it is a scary board.

For me the turn is a clear c/c and i can't really imagine doing anything else.

c/c for sure. a c/r is no good because i dont see him b/f'ing much here and we have showdown value, not to mention you have decent equity when behind.

C/C is better, however if he bets 1/2 pot here...don't you think you're ahead of Axss, J10, QJ etc a lot? You might be able to get more value with a C/R rather than C/C line. Assuming the river blanks and he has these hands do you think C/C, C/C is better because he will bluff a missed draw a % of the time? Also, in the event he does bet 1/2 pot or less, and you improve on the river do you think C/R or Betting is better on the river?

I'd lean towards C/R as there are a lot of missed draws in his range that he will just fold if you bet, and he rarely has a good enough hand to call if he does just bet small on turn.

If he bet more, then a K makes up a higher % of his range. C/C is better obviously.