Stumbling across a concept

I just realized in this session that it should be mad profitible to raise 3-6 out draws on flops where opp is never pushing over your raise, assuring you see a river.

PokerStars Game #9541477386: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2007/04/21 - 20:40:34 (ET)
Table 'Aeolia' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: FGators26 ($335.65 in chips)
Seat 2: redgrape ($244.05 in chips)
Seat 3: murph0511 ($309.35 in chips)
Seat 4: cconnard ($349 in chips)
Seat 5: Haloth2 ($197 in chips)
Seat 6: luckybacon ($395.75 in chips)
murph0511: posts small blind $1
cconnard: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to redgrape [3d 3s]
Haloth2: folds
luckybacon: raises $6 to $8
FGators26: folds
redgrape: calls $8
murph0511: folds
cconnard: folds
*** FLOP *** [2c 5h Ad]
luckybacon: bets $12
redgrape: raises $22 to $34
luckybacon: calls $22
*** TURN *** [2c 5h Ad] [5c]
luckybacon: checks
redgrape: checks
*** RIVER *** [2c 5h Ad 5c] [7c]
luckybacon: checks
redgrape: checks

clearly im not playing it this way everytime; sometimes ill two barrel, sometimes ill bet/raise riv. This also has great meta game imo.
Just wondering what you guys think.

On a different flop this line isn't so bad aslong as you are going to continue to apply pressure. The hand would also be well hidden if hit.

On the board in question I don't like investing $34 on a 16.5% probability of hitting a gut shot that is going to kill action.

In most cases you will be called down by PF raiser, and you are going to miss so often that I don't see this being +EV.

assuming floating and betting turn folds the same amount of hands that a flop raise does, is it better to call or raise flop ?

do some math

lol wow that was stupid. wtf was i thinking.

Originally Posted by gabe

assuming floating and betting turn folds the same amount of hands that a flop raise does, is it better to call or raise flop ?

do some math

Well here your correct, this move was pretty retarded on this flop.
So the more hands he folds to a flop raise compared to the hands he folds to a float, the more we should raise the flop with weak draws?