T2P, coordinated board, facing heat

[Lukie]

Villain is kinda loose passive compared to how the game normally plays, but by no means a fish like the kind you will see at the lower limits. 35/13 player, plays kind of passively post-flop without the goods. He doesn't play back at me like this without a huge hand, take my word for it. Default would be to insta-call, but I took a long time before making my decision on the turn.

My range here is pretty wide on the button making an iso-raise against 1 limper, but I'm not sure how well this guy compensates for that. He doesn't go crazy calling raises OOP, so I think he mucks JT preflop but probably calls if it's suited. I think he 3-bets KK/AA back at me pre, and probably QQ as well. He doesn't repop much preflop.

Here's my dilemma on the turn. Normally I'm very good at putting people on a hand, but in this case, I just had a hard time doing so. I couldn't see him doing it with a worse hand (not even AQ, I think he'd play it much more passively if he did), and the only hands I'm really afraid of are QQ/JT, which don't necessarily fit the preflop bill, and they represent so few card combos if we don't include the o/s JT hands.

$280 left in effective stacks on the turn.

Ugh?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP ($394)
CO ($33.90)
Hero ($397.90)
SB ($285.15)
BB ($559.35)
UTG ($255.05)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, K.
1 fold, MP calls $4, 1 fold, Hero raises to $18, 1 fold, BB calls $14, MP calls $14.

Flop: ($56) A, K, Q (3 players)
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $40, BB raises to $100, MP folds, Hero calls $60.

Turn: ($256) 3 (2 players)
BB bets $441.35 (All-In) Hero thinks for a very long about whether or not to call of his last $280...

[Warpe]

Tough one. At 35/13 I can see KQ here.

[Lukie]

Tough one. At 35/13 I can see KQ here.

preflop, maybe. I think it's very unlikely he plays a hand of this strength so powerfully on this board, given the way he generally plays post-flop.

[gabe]

i dont see a reason to call

[Lukie]

i dont see a reason to call

so you're putting him on exactly JT/QQ?

[aislephive]

Very tough decision, super player dependant. The way you described him I think he has TJ here pretty damn often, so I'd fold the flop. It was a 2.5x raise which is usually a monster, especially in a multiway pot. I'm pretty sure he has our goose cooked here though in any event.

[Miffed22001]

i think you have to fold it, but saying that i dont like the fold.
A lot of semi-try-to-play-good players wont reraise QQ preflop against tight/nitty/good players, any chance this is what you have here?
Ive seen it before but ive lost enough money it too.

[bdawg56kg]

I'd close my eyes and call. I think this is AQ/KQ more often than JT/QQ. But if my gut feeling was to fold, then I would have no problem doing so. What is villian's sn?

[natdang]

I have no balls, so if your read that he is not a donk/total maniac is correct, then I assume he obviously also knows you've got a big ace rolled up and got a chunk of the flop.... I think the only hand you're beating here is KQ, so i'm letting it go. I don't even think AQ goes beserk like this.