You're dead right Marshall. I edited my first post for completeness sake, we'll call it a collaboration ok?


I just had another thought also. In the very first paragraph I said

Quote Originally Posted by Me
we should bet smallish because...we want to keep his range wide so that if we bet the turn he has a enough in his range to fold with a decent frequency.
The quick maths I did shows that bluffing this turn is pretty profitable with like any two cards as long as we bet small enough on the flop that his range to reach the turn is really wide. How about instead of trying to keep him wide to the turn where we make him fold too much, we keep him wide till the river where we make him fold too much. He seems to have enough floats in his range for it to work. Something like 1/3 pot on the flop, 1/3 on the turn and then shove the river.