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Poker ForumShort-Handed NL Hold'em

turned boat, horrible river but i still really want to call.

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  1. #1
    will641's Avatar
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    Default turned boat, horrible river but i still really want to call.

    villain is unknown. i think i'm either against quads or his draw that hit but river ruined his hand, and hes shoving out of frustration because he didnt hsove turn

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Hero ($194)
    SB ($201)
    BB ($227.75)
    UTG ($195.80)
    MP ($111.65)
    CO ($200.80)

    Preflop: Hero is Button with 4, 4.
    1 fold, MP calls $2, 1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 2 folds, MP calls $6.

    Flop: ($19) 6, 5, 6 (2 players)
    MP checks, Hero bets $14, MP calls $14.

    Turn: ($47) 4 (2 players)
    MP checks, Hero bets $32, MP calls $32.

    River: ($111) 6 (2 players)
    MP bets $57.65 (All-In)
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  2. #2
    idk i probably fold but it's close
  3. #3
    its not close at all fold
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  4. #4
    Pythonic's Avatar
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    Fold all day in this spot. Tough River!
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  5. #5
    I'm guessing he has something like A5.. its a definate fold.
  6. #6
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    dont see why this would be close
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  7. #7
    mixchange's Avatar
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    very easy snap fold
  8. #8
    looking over it again, i think its closer than i originally thought. Not a lot of hands make sense at all. Still i probably fold though.
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  9. #9
    Wow, tough hand. I fold w/out a read, but it is real close. If villain makes any moves at all or is a good thinking player, I might call.
    I'm not sure what a good thinking player limp/calls OOP with though. I guess a 6.
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  10. #10
    Sick river.
    This looks like a fold but his line is so strange.
    He only needs to be bluffing a little over 25% of the time to make this a call.

    His turn range is something like
    88-22,AhQh,AhJh,AhTh,Ah9h,Ah8h,Ad7d,Ah7h,Ah6h,Ah3h,Ah 2h,
    KhQh,KhJh,KhTh,QhJh,JhTh,Th9h,9h8h,87s,76s,65s,54s ,43s,A6o-A5o

    Which were 50/50 against when the river hits - but then he open shoves.

    He's a 55bb early position open limper who's put in half his stack already playing his hand exactly like weak player with a draw that hit on turn.

    If a decent/thinking player open shoved I'd fold in an instant, zeebo theorem etc, he knows he has no fold equity.

    But I really think a weak player as you said just cant fold his flush
    and he's shoving a lot of his flush range like he has some hope of representing a 6 or a better full house.

    Very very close.
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  11. #11
    I'm Lucy Goosey, honest, but the three hands I've replied to I would have to advice folding. That includes this one; I think villains most likely hand is a medium overpair making a house on the river.

    This is said with all the information laid out bare and with time to reflect.

    In the heat of the moment there's a good chance I would call (talking myself into thinking that the river bet was small enough / the pot and my chances big enough), that it was worth the rest at this stage.

    I also think this is marginal; if your opponent has a flush and knows he's not gonna fold to a bet, then he would be correct to shove.

    So one reason why he may shove the flush, without it being entirely born of frustration, would be the incorrect application of a correct NL poker concept. He hit's on the turn and decides he's commited to the hand, no matter what; just a question of when the chips go in.

    See, I'm even talking myself into a call in this post...
  12. #12
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kamawoop
    Another reason why he may shove the flush, without it being entirely born of frustration, would be the incorrect application of a correct NL poker concept. He hit's on the turn and decides he's commited to the hand, no matter what; just a question of when the chips go in.
    the board texture has completely changed...no one can be "committed" with a flush here
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  13. #13
    Quote Originally Posted by nutsinho
    Quote Originally Posted by Kamawoop
    Another reason why he may shove the flush, without it being entirely born of frustration, would be the incorrect application of a correct NL poker concept. He hit's on the turn and decides he's commited to the hand, no matter what; just a question of when the chips go in.
    the board texture has completely changed...no one can be "committed" with a flush here
    Ummm I think your missing a good point by kawomp. If he feels that he hit his flush and he's not going to fold he may very well shove in his flush, even though i agree that he may very well not. But then again he could have some missed straight draw and then shove because he puts will on AK.
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  14. #14
    nutsinho wrote:
    no one can be "committed with a flush here"

    No, no-one SHOULD be committed with a flush here.
  15. #15
    i think its close, i cant put villain on a hand....ppl do stupid stuff sometimes
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  16. #16
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by IowaSkinsFan
    Quote Originally Posted by nutsinho
    Quote Originally Posted by Kamawoop
    Another reason why he may shove the flush, without it being entirely born of frustration, would be the incorrect application of a correct NL poker concept. He hit's on the turn and decides he's commited to the hand, no matter what; just a question of when the chips go in.
    the board texture has completely changed...no one can be "committed" with a flush here
    Ummm I think your missing a good point by kawomp. If he feels that he hit his flush and he's not going to fold he may very well shove in his flush, even though i agree that he may very well not. But then again he could have some missed straight draw and then shove because he puts will on AK.
    so he has..uhh...89 with one heart? this is dumb
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  17. #17
    MP is a 111 stack so im assuming he's a fish, so more like A7, 97, 7x, A8, 89, 8T etc.
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  18. #18
    will641's Avatar
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    yeah the reason i thought it was close was because other than quads nothing makes sense, but even a 6 probably raises turn or flop. and i couldnt conceivably see him having a 5 here. then again donkeys never cease to amaze me.
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  19. #19
    go ahead and post the results so i can tell you what you should have done
    do the right thing.
  20. #20
    i'm guessing he folded cause we would have seen them already.
  21. #21
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    lol im starting to feel like calling this could be fun
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  22. #22
    will641's Avatar
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    well i folded so no results
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  23. #23
    zomg bad foldddd
    Nine to five is how to survive - I ain't trying to survive / I'm trying to live it to the limit and love it a lot //

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  24. #24
    Despite being one of the stronger advocates as to why this hand was close, I do and have always, agreed with the fold.

    Of course it's never close on the chances of winning; just the odds if you do win make it marginal. Generally fold, you'd have had to have seen some pretty wierd plays from the villian prior to this hand to reasonably call.

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