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Turned bottom set: facing all-in river on dangerous board

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  1. #1

    Default Turned bottom set: facing all-in river on dangerous board

    Villain is 30/13/1.5 for 39 hands.

    Tough decision on river, pot is offering almost 2 to 1 odds. The check on the flop makes me think its either AJ or a bluff. Maybe a rivered flush also. But sets and two-paired hands, or AK don't make much sense.

    Also, should I have reraised/pushed all-in on turn if I was willing to call his river all-in?


    POKERSTARS GAME #10182971488: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.50/$1.00) - 2007/05/30 - 12:45:15 (ET)
    Table 'Ampella IV' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
    Seat 1: hirscheybar ($124.55 in chips)
    Seat 2: calvinnor ($96.10 in chips)
    Seat 3: BigMich08 ($132.30 in chips)
    Seat 4: TNC14 ($97.05 in chips)
    Seat 5: BuLL3t_bG ($120.10 in chips)
    Seat 6: longdog13 ($51.30 in chips)
    hirscheybar: posts small blind $0.50
    calvinnor: posts big blind $1
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to hirscheybar [5h 5c]
    BigMich08: folds
    TNC14: folds
    BuLL3t_bG: folds
    longdog13: raises $2 to $3
    hirscheybar: calls $2.50
    calvinnor: folds
    *** FLOP *** [Ts Qd Kh]
    hirscheybar: checks
    longdog13: checks
    *** TURN *** [Ts Qd Kh] [5s]
    hirscheybar: bets $5
    longdog13: raises $7 to $12
    hirscheybar: calls $7
    *** RIVER *** [Ts Qd Kh 5s] [6s]
    hirscheybar: checks
    longdog13: bets $36.30 and is all-in
  2. #2
    If he usually C-bets then it always looks a bit suspect especially on this kind of flop. Having said that I'm with the school of thought that says never lay down a set. And you cover him easily.
  3. #3
    Call but normally I shove the turn.
    I wouldn't put anyone on a bluff at these stakes unless they had crazy stats. I'd say you could put him on a bluff 5% of the time at most.
    You're getting about 2 to 1 on the river, im just not folding even though the hands that make the most sense are beating us. Too many overplayed hands.
    Check out the new blog!!!
  4. #4
    I would probably just stick it in on the turn with his stack size, for better or for worse.
  5. #5
    Id push turn.

    as played i call the river but a flush makes alot of sense. But getting 2-1 and considering how much weakness you have shown in the hand, I call.

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