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Unsure of what to do here

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  1. #1

    Default Unsure of what to do here

    Villian here is 19/3/2.8 after ~1k hands. Only real history we have is him stacking me in a reraised pot with TT on a Txx all diamond board, I had AA with a diamond. He knows that I raise a lot and with alot of trash, I also steal on him all the time.

    My thoughts in the hand were call the flop and if he fires a PSB on the turn I muck but he doesn't and I pick up a draw.

    Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Button ($52.20)
    SB ($64.70)
    BB ($40.15)
    Hero ($54.06)
    MP ($0)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q, A. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
    Hero raises to $2, 1 fold, SB (poster) calls $1.75, 1 fold.

    Flop: ($4.50) Q, 8, 3 (3 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $3.5, SB raises to $8, Hero calls $4.50.

    Turn: ($20.50) J (3 players)
    SB bets $7, Hero calls $7.

    River: ($34.50) K (3 players)
    SB bets $15, Hero folds.

    Final Pot: $49.50
  2. #2
    His PFR is low. He must call all of his Low PPs to the flop against a PF raise. This is how I would play a flopped set against a flush draw board. Strong but safe

    I agree with your thinking. Its possible a Turn Re raise to PSB may scare him off, but not sure I would play that line. Anyone else?
  3. #3
    I would raise the turn and call off the rest I think.
  4. #4
    johnny_fish's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fnord
    I would raise the turn and call off the rest I think.
    Why? What does Hero beat at the turn?
  5. #5
    Robert's Avatar
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    I think raising the turn is bad here, because you are either WA (against a weak TP) or WB - if you raise he folds if you are WA, and if you are WB you want to just call his raise and outdraw him cheaply
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by johnny_fish
    Quote Originally Posted by Fnord
    I would raise the turn and call off the rest I think.
    Why? What does Hero beat at the turn?
    Well let's assume that he pays attention or has HUD. He knows that I'm a TAGish player. He also knows that suited connectors, suited aces, 9T is in my range. Let's also assume he has a set. Do I have any fold equity if I push the turn? I really don't think I take my image into account at all and I think in this hand it hurt me. Furthermore wouldn't it be difficult to just raise the turn and get him to fold on the river due to the tremondous odds he'd be getting? Sorry about all the blabbering but Fnord got me thinking about image and semi-bluff raising/pushing since I usually only do that kind of thing on the flop.

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