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 Originally Posted by arkana
Hi Michael
#12: I really dont like your call on this flop, its a suited-connected board and very few cards improve your hand. I also don't like the smooth call on the turn, why not raise here? Its not unlikely that he has a flush draw too and you could be in real trouble on the river if another club comes. What was your plan with this hand? Were you planning on bluffing him off the hand?
I didn't remember that the flop was suited, so that makes it a bit odd. Other than that, plays like this are pretty standard for me, and are the way that I counteract continuation bets. I call on the flop and see what he's going to do on the turn. If he just had high cards, a draw, or was making a continuation bet, he's likely to check the turn behind me, letting me know my hand is good. If the turn gives me two pair or better, I may win a decent pot off of it. Its a marginal call for sure, but I'm best at reading the turn, so I don't expect to lose much more than my flop call here, if I don't win the hand.
Obviously I was planning on checkraising when the 9 hit, but I got a strange vibe due to the size of his bet on the turn that he wasn't worried about the 9. On the river when he again made a value size bet that seemed to be begging for a call, I got the same vibe.
#15: I don't know why you considered raising the river here? He checked the flop and then woke up on the turn, he either has the other T (and likely a better kicker) or he hit a 2 outer on you for the FH.
It was absolutely obvious that he had the other T. But what you aren't considering is that he completed the SB after 3 limpers. He may have raised preflop if he had AT, and he really could have any T at that spot, most of which were lower than mine. On the turn I wouldn't have dared to consider raising, as from the way he rereraised me, he could've had a boat. However, from the size of his river bet, I didn't feel he had a boat or a very strong T, because it was pretty clear that I had a T from the way I had played the hand. If he had a boat here he almost certainly would've bet near the size of the pot, instead of making a rather insignificant river bet.
The only hands I was afraid of at the river were AT and KT. I beat T2, T4, T6, T9, and JT. Therefore, I felt like I should've raised as I likely had the best hand, and I would have had this been a ring game or had I had a much smaller stack, but with the deep stacks it just wasn't worth the risk.
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