What does he fold? What does he have?

Villain is running at a laggy 10/8 lol

I changed my mind about this hand after playing it. What does he have after he checks the river and what does a preflop tighty usually call with?

If he has a HUD, he realizes that my preflop cold calling range is wide. Also, if he's been aware at all he's seen me overbet the river a lot and win the past two showdowns.


$200 USD NL Texas Hold'em - Tuesday, September 11, 11:18:12 ET 2007
Table Jackpot #1304946 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 6
Seat 5: HERO ( $374.79 USD )
Seat 1: JuStAc0iNfLiP ( $196 USD )
Seat 4: VILLAIN ( $265.20 USD )
Seat 3: popik55 ( $178.90 USD )
Seat 2: JAJ66 ( $63.20 USD )
Seat 6: surlyjoe ( $200 USD )
JAJ66 posts small blind [$1 USD].
popik55 posts big blind [$2 USD].

** Dealing down cards **

Dealt to HERO
VILLAIN raises [$6 USD]
HERO calls [$6 USD]
surlyjoe folds.
JuStAc0iNfLiP folds.
JAJ66 calls [$5 USD]
popik55 folds.

** Dealing Flop ** (20$ pot)

JAJ66 checks.
VILLAIN checks.
HERO bets [$13 USD]
JAJ66 folds.
VILLAIN calls [$13 USD]

** Dealing Turn ** (45$ pot)

VILLAIN checks.
HERO bets [$41 USD]
VILLAIN calls [$41 USD]

** Dealing River ** (125ish$ pot)

VILLAIN checks.
HERO is all-In. (201$ for villain to call)

btw obv my first few posts have been basic. Just bear with me; I'll find some more advanced and interesting hands soon after I remember how to play poker.

I dont like it. I cant imagine he folds an A, and if KK folds it will fold to a much smaller bet.

As far as hand reading goes I cant really see him c/cing 2 streets with KK here anyway. I really think hes hit something big here and wants you to bluff at it. Do you have an aggro image?

I have been running at a steady 33/21 since coming back (only a few K hands...)

My image is usually aggro, with my range in a hand like this being nuts a good %, something crazy and thin like KK or QQ a decent % and air a small %

He prob doesn't know this though. All he's seen is me overbet 2 rivers and win showdowns in recent orbits.

ewwwwww!!!!!
Everything is fine but river, and i dont think there's one card that comes that i shove besides a heart, i c/f river almost every time.

If you're going to bet here bet closer to 100.

Oh yeah, and answering the question. He probably folds everything but an A, and TT-KK probably fold.

If the river hadn't paired the 3 making Ax top boat I wouldn't have bet when checked to.

I just figured there was no way he'd check top boat to me when I'd repped a fairly strong hand throughout the hand (something like 99-JJ ish). Figured he'd fold TT-KK a big % of the time to a shove but would call a "value-bet"