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Re: What the hell is going on here?
 Originally Posted by Bear Bones
With a raise and a re-raise you are likely way behind here. For the str8, any 4 is a split, 46 (and maybe 47 have you drawing dead, and almost any 2 diamonds kill your flush. check raise is likely a set/A4 or 2 pair and the turn 2 puts the boat possibility out there. There are much better spots to gamble.
Is being super-tight the new hobby around here? Two way:
Board: 3d 2c 5d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 43.2456 % 39.46% 03.79% { 8d4d }
Hand 2: 56.7544 % 52.97% 03.79% { 55, 33-22, A4s, 64s, 53s, A4o, 64o, 53o }
1,246,140 games 0.329 secs 3,787,659 games/sec
Three way:
Board: 2c 3d 5d
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 31.7448 % 27.96% 03.79% { 8d4d }
Hand 2: 37.6635 % 31.14% 06.53% { 55, 33-22, A4s, 64s, A4o, 64o }
Hand 3: 30.5917 % 24.45% 06.14% { 55-22, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, A4s, 7d6d, 64s, A4o, 64o }
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I can imagine few scenarios here in which I am a significant dog - I'd have to have some very accurate reads to think I was way behind to either of these guys, let alone both of them. I'm getting laid 2:1 from the pot with three way action and strong implied odds. About the only problem is that I'm not confident in both of my draws. If I thought both of the players would call, I actually think there's a good case for just pushing here. The problem is that I think there's a strong chance the first raiser folds (as he did even without me pushing), which takes some of my odds away. Tell me if you think the above hand ranges are off - I happen to think they're very close to correct on two moderately aggressive players. In fact I think the hand range for the first raiser here was too tight - I didn't include any of the overpairs that he could easily make that first raise with. The check-raiser's range is a lot scarier IMO.
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