river trips top kicker

[Lukie]

hand is a couple weeks old.

NL100, 9-handed

Stacks: UTG has $61. MP has $160. Hero covers.

Reads: UTG was playing a lot of pots and very often coming in for a raise. UTG min-raise from this guy certainly does not mean a big hand. MP was pretty loose, but not a donk. vpip ~30 if i remember correctly. And I do.

UTG raises to $2. Hero is UTG+1 with AKs.. suits don't matter, and raises to $8. MP calls. UTG calls. 3 to the flop.

Flop 487r. UTG checks, Hero bets $15, MP calls, UTG folds. MP could have a set, be floating, or have something like QQ/KK

Turn A. Hero checks. MP bets $23. Hero calls.

River A. Hero pushes. I think given the way the hand played out, he can call with a worse hand here, perhaps something like QQ or KK. An under-full is certainly a worry here, but I'm thinking there's a good chance he dumps a smaller pp pf to my 3-bet with original PFRer still needing to be heard from, and I also think there's some value in this push, as better hands fold here approximately never. Thoughts?

Effective stacks remaining on the river were $114 btw.

Thoughts?

[bdawg56kg]

Lukie, do you think MP bets this turn with KK/QQ when you check it to him? Seems odd. I probably value bet this river or CR all in, depending on how likely you think he is to bet this river. I don't like open pushing here, unless you think you can really sell a bluff. Ax has a hard time calling off 114BB's if you push, especially after you 3-bet pre. Why no turn lead?

[sejje]

I like a check-raise if he's prone to bet--I'll lead if he's going to check behind Ax or KK, QQ.