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Was the price right for AT suited?

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  1. #1

    Default Was the price right for AT suited?

    Did I have odds to call? (math my weak suit...)

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

    MP1 ($14.55)
    MP2 ($5.70)
    CO ($9.45)
    Hero ($14.85)
    SB ($5.05)
    BB ($15.70)
    UTG ($12.05)

    Preflop: Hero is Button with T, A.
    4 folds, Hero raises to $0.4, SB calls $0.35, 1 fold.

    Flop: ($0.90) Q, Q, 3 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $0.6, SB calls $0.60.

    Turn: ($2.10) 6 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB raises to $4.05, Hero folds.

    Final Pot: $8.15
    There is no such thing as free checking...
  2. #2
    Check behind on the turn for a free shot at your draw and you won't need pot odds Realistically, what can this guy call you with on the flop that will fold to a bet on the turn? QQ3 rainbow leaves no draws to chase..
    Some days it feels like I've been standing forever, waiting for the bank teller to return so I can cash in all these Sklansky Bucks.
  3. #3
    BankItDrew's Avatar
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    absolutly. you need to call $2, which would be a 20% investment towards a $8 pot. your odds on the flush are 16% (8 outs assuming he has one queen and not a full house).

    To make it a justifiable call, your $2.05 call must be greater than 16% of the final pot.

    (100 / 16) * 2.05 = how big final pot has to be = $12.81

    so, call his bet and bet at least $2.40 on the river to make your turn call justifiable.
  4. #4
    you always have odds to call after a minraise
  5. #5
    You're gonna bet $2 into a $10 pot, so 1/5. To chance to get your flush is 1/6. Now if that guy hadn't gone all-in your implied odds would have justified the call but here I dunno. Probably isn't a bluff and he really has the Q, but maybe if you add the chance that he doesn't have the Q but an overpair and your A gets 3 outs, then you can justify the call

    But seriously, you should have checked the turn. First get a free peak at your flush option, thén decide what to do. I don't see a need to want to take him out here...
  6. #6
    Quote Originally Posted by jackvance
    You're gonna bet $2 into a $10 pot, so 1/5. To chance to get your flush is 1/6. Now if that guy hadn't gone all-in your implied odds would have justified the call but here I dunno. Probably isn't a bluff and he really has the Q, but maybe if you add the chance that he doesn't have the Q but an overpair and your A gets 3 outs, then you can justify the call

    But seriously, you should have checked the turn. First get a free peak at your flush option, thén decide what to do. I don't see a need to want to take him out here...
    But if he does have the Q then one of your clubs could pair his kicker plus 3 is no good either. Thats alot of dirty outs. I think you can call it if he has a stack behind but im not so sure here. You are getting 4:1 but i dont think all your outs are clean.
    If you are calling its for the chance he has a PP. Its quite possible he has 66+ on that board.
    gabe: Ive dropped almost 100k in the past 35 days.

    bigspenda73: But how much did you win?
  7. #7
    Right, didn't think of any dirty outs there.
  8. #8
    I thought he was slowplaying QQ.
    He had been limping for several revolutions (folding to raises) and then called very fast when I bet.
    Checks the flop... but then calls immediately.
    When he checked the turn, I TOTALLY should have checked it, but I was in "no free checking mode" (LEAK). Maybe I got some information that saved me some money, but ultimately I passed at a free River, which is WAY DUMB.
    Of course, If he really had the Queens in the pocket, I just would have lost more money playing my A high flush like the nuts.


    Thanks all.

    -M
    There is no such thing as free checking...
  9. #9
    Hm, I don't think he has QQ here. Rather Qx.

    The chance to get quads on the flop when you have a pp is 0.25%. So it'll happen once every 400 pps you play! I think it's hard to keep a level head when you will be instantly fearing the absolute worst abysmal-odds situation on any flop. Especially when there are a lot more higher chance and plausible hands that could explain his betting behavior.
  10. #10


    Check the turn. Free cards are almost as cool as free beer.
  11. #11
    Miffed22001's Avatar
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    omg u stack him if u hot the river after taking the free card
    I have 50-100 hands like this from 10 and 20nl recently where opps just overplayer there hands horribly.
    In fact i prob have enough from 100nl to prove that too.
  12. #12
    Yes, must get over dislike of the check and learn to use it's EVIL POWER.
    There is no such thing as free checking...
  13. #13
    johnny_fish's Avatar
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    Don't bet when you don't know what to do with a reraise. Your bet is fine though if you reasonably could put him on a PP that thinks you missed. After the reraise his range is KQ/QJ/33 and your pot odds are good vs. that, so call.
  14. #14
    Renton's Avatar
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    betting draws is negative EV at 10nl. The only reason you do it at all is to represent a non-draw, and throw off aware opponents, EDIT: of which there are none.

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