Fold this set?

[Genitruc]

Villian seems like decent lagg (KungHenke).

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Game # 334808897 - Texas Hold'em No Limit EUR 0,50/1,00 - Table "Toledo"
Game ended 2006-05-22 00:34:52 GMT+01:00

Players:
Agnes_25 (EUR 96,80 in seat 1)
BazFTW (EUR 106,10 in seat 2)
tjuvven1 (EUR 69,11 in seat 3)
Fiskbilen1 (EUR 205,05 in seat 4)
Henitruk3 (EUR 55,50 in seat 5)
Kung_Henke (EUR 70,20 in seat 6)

Dealer: Agnes_25
Small Blind: BazFTW (0,50)
Big Blind: tjuvven1 (1,00)

Henitruk3 was dealt: 3c - 3h

Fiskbilen1 Fold
Henitruk3 Raise (3,50)
Kung_Henke Call (3,50)
Agnes_25 Fold
BazFTW Call (3,00)
tjuvven1 Call (2,50)

Flop Ks - 3d - Td

BazFTW Check
tjuvven1 Bet (11,00)
Henitruk3 Raise (33,00)
Kung_Henke All-In (66,70)
BazFTW Fold
tjuvven1 Fold
Henitruk3 ???


----------------------------------------------------------------------

[WhooFleuryScores]

I CAAAAAAAL>>>>>>>>>>>>><<<<<<<<<<>>>>>>>>

If he has KK or TT you tip your hat to him and pay off with confidence.

[samsonite2100]

Well, KK prolly reraise PF, so the only hand you're worried about is 1010, which likely would've reraised, too. Regardless, call.

[krimson]

You have 19 left behind, and there's 110 in the pot, so you are getting almost 6:1 pot odds.
If villain has a bigger set you will win about 4% of the time, so in that case the EV of your call is about -14. If we assume that you have about 75% equity against villain's non-set holdings then the EV of calling is about +80 when villain does not have set. For a call to be -EV you therefore need to be about 85% certain that villain has a set rather than two pair, TPTK + FD, OESD + FD, gutshot + FD or whatever.

[ProZachNation]

Easy call, only really worried about TT here, KK is raising you preflop. Im guessing the guy is usually flipping AJ+ of diamond heres.

[Genitruc]

Results : Villain turned over 10-10 for my 5th set over set in past 7 flopped sets. GG Variance.

[Miffed22001]

er its a no brainer push
if he has a set over set (as you show) then damn it hurts but ur not folding now

[WildBobAA]

Easy call, espeically on a draw heavy board like this, he could be semi-bluffing.

[Lukie]

poty

[Bmxicle]

I always check fold flop for metagame reasons.

[Lukie]

open folding the flop is much better so you don't get yourself in trouble when the flush hits

[jackvance]

I prefer to open fold when I see that my flush hits, that way I won't risk getting stacked by boats and all that.

[Renton]

{random smartass remark to Genitruc about how he should have folded bottom set}

[samsonite2100]

I never learn to play poker in order to avoid all bad beats. Booyaah!!!

[Genitruc]

I would still probably never fold but thought this might be at the very least marginal. It just reeked of set over set with EP leading out, me coming overtop (sreaming set/2 pair) and decent lagg going ballistic ai. It can't be 33 since I have 33 so it's either monster draw or another set. 10 10 def capable of smooth calling preflop and have been smooth-called 6-7 times in past 3k hands by various players' AA/KK preflop on this site. So believe it or not, IMO top trips is possible as well.

I still go broke every time here. But...

Note to self : no more posting HH when it was an obvious call and you're just pissed cuz you got out-monstered.

[givememyleg]

I dont think it reeks of set over set to me. I instacall.