Daily Affirmation with your host...

[holdin2]

I'm good enough, I'm smart enough, and dog-gone-it....people like me (well maybe none of these)

These all good ones to lay down?

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Villian 51/9 over 184 hands. Can't think of much or enough hands that call PFR that I beat. How do you handle the flop?

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP1 ($31.65)
MP2 ($33.80)
MP3 ($13.90)
CO ($11.80)
Button ($6.25)
SB ($8.85)
BB ($12.10)
UTG ($21)
Hero ($28.05)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K, K.
1 fold, Hero raises to $0.85, MP1 calls $0.85, MP2 calls $0.85, 1 fold, CO raises to $1.45, 3 folds, Hero raises to $5.85, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO calls $4.40.

Flop: ($13.75) Q, 2, A (2 players)
Hero ???

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Villian is 11/7 over 27 hands

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

CO ($9.50)
Button ($19.35)
SB ($14.20)
BB ($4.85)
UTG ($10.50)
UTG+1 ($21.60)
Hero ($35.10)
MP2 ($24.60)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K, K.
UTG raises to $1.5, 1 fold, Hero raises to $4, 5 folds, UTG calls $2.50.

Flop: ($8.35) J, A, 7 (2 players)
UTG bets $6.5 (All-In), Hero folds.

Final Pot: $14.85

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Villian is 16/9 over 67 hands

Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.25 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP1 ($12.50)
MP2 ($8.50)
MP3 ($32.55)
CO ($29.65)
Button ($26.30)
SB ($19.20)
Hero ($46.70)
UTG ($10.15)
UTG+1 ($6.50)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A, A.
UTG+1 calls $0.25, MP1 calls $0.25, 2 folds, CO calls $0.25, 1 fold, SB raises to $0.5, Hero raises to $2.25, 1 fold, MP1 folds, CO folds, SB calls $1.75.

Flop: ($5.25) J, 5, 6 (3 players)
SB bets $16.95 (All-In), Hero folds.

Final Pot: $22.20


All comments welcome as usual, constructive comments.

[Miffed22001]

1. Push? at 25nl i might
2. I like, tough flop when he has so little behind. I might actually reraise opp all in here preflop because of so little money behind.
3. insta Call for me. Looks weak.
Id have made this like $3.5 on the reraise to really stop anyone else getting in on the flop.

[mcatdog]

Hand 1 and Hand 2 are fine. On Hand 3 I think his most likely hand is KK, call him.

[Fnord]

On Hand 3 I think his most likely hand is AJ/KJs/JTs, call him.

FYP.

[mcatdog]

He could just have top pair, but I see people play their big pairs this way a lot. Terrible fold either way.

[Fnord]

More often than not I find weak raises to be weak hands. I make a lot of money 3-betting guys who open for 2x.

[freechus9]

First hand throw out a c-bet about 75% of the pot. If you get called or raised, check/fold the rest of the hand.

[yorib]

Hand 1: Given that Villian called the 3rd bet rather than pushed implies QQ/AK (or remotely JJ/TT/AQ) and he has about only $6 left (and there's $13 in the pot). Your choices are check or push. I can't see villian folding (except with the remote JJ/TT) could he fold AK? On that flop he might as it's likely you flopped a set. I say push because you are getting 3:1 on your money and there's a small chance he'll fold.

Hand 2: Fine as played

Hand 3: You have to call. I think villian is praying you have AK. The likelihood of him having JJ is offset by QQ/KK.

[givememyleg]

1 - I would strongly consider just making it $12 to go preflop and set him allin. If he calls half his stack he will call his whole stack at this limit.
2 - Weeeeeee!!
3 - Caaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaall! Opps if he has 55 66 JJ.

[Lukie]

hand 1: lol, awesome flop. I'd probably just check/call on the small possibility he has JJ/TT/something really stupid that only a 51/9 guy can show here, and the small amount of equity we have against made hands that are better then ours. Tough spot, and I don't think anything you do here can really be that bad.

hand 2: This is fine. I think calling is a small error here.

hand 3: Call.

[holdin2]

Haven't had the time to respond back to this til now. A few followup questions.

Hand1:
I'm gonna give my first try at PokerStove here. I can't see very wide range calling the reraise even with his stats.

Generous
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equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 59.8873 % 58.48% 01.41% { KdKh }
Hand 2: 40.1127 % 38.71% 01.41% { 88+, AQs+, AKo }

More likely
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equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 35.0851 % 32.20% 02.88% { KdKh }
Hand 2: 64.9149 % 62.03% 02.88% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }

I pretty much figured I had to be beat, but I couldn't lay it down at the time, and went for the push since he had so little left. He had the QQ like I figured. Would a push preflop be in order instead of my reraise? Since the reraiser had a smaller stack and all.

Am I gonna scare him out of the hand if he has an Ace, again he has so little behind. Does my equity in the second hand range justify it given the 3:1 pot odds? I'm new to this equity thing, so any help would be appreciated.



Hand2:
Miff, would reraising all-in preflop be a good idea even though there are 5-6 left behind me? Is the UTG raise enough for me to jump on isolating him right away or fold him for $1.45?



Hand3:
Consensus is I made a terrible fold. I have a few questions. What hands would just push here? That seems a bit aggressive for a tight guy to push with any Jack and good kicker just hoping I raised AK. QQ is beat by most likely hands I'm holding. KK has a slightly better edge but why push. I can see sets doing it to suck in the proud overpair. A lower pair repping a set? Was my preflop raise too small to look like a big pair? This push is just strange to me.

Is the fact that the only hands I need to be worried about are JJ, 55, 66 the reason to just call it...because I'm just overthinking it too much?