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100NL Overpair facing flop lead

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  1. #1

    Default 100NL Overpair facing flop lead

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    UTG+1 ($119.30)
    MP1 ($96)
    MP2 ($108.50)
    MP3 ($103.30)
    Hero ($108.75)
    Button ($35)
    SB ($126.35)
    BB ($70.55)
    UTG ($19.70)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with T, T.
    2 folds, MP1 calls $1, 1 fold, MP3 calls $1, Hero raises to $5, 3 folds, MP1 calls $4, MP3 calls $4.

    Flop: ($16.50) 7, 2, 9 (3 players)
    MP1 checks, MP3 bets $10, Hero ???

    ---

    Villian is a 54/5 over 30 hands.

    What's your move here?
  2. #2
    reraise to 23 -- probably call the all in (based on his stats)
    if he was 18/8 I would fold to the all in

    you have to raise here, alot of scare cards can come on turn.
  3. #3
    AHiltz's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2005
    Posts
    1,969
    Location
    Coldbrook, NS
    68 would make this play. Take away his draw. I don't think a set leads on this board.
  4. #4
    Based on his stats and that there is no clear draw on the board except maybe the str8, I would re-raise this bet to $25. If he raises you all-in, call. You will win these pots more often than you lose...he probably has TPMK or a str8 draw. A set check/raises this board from EP.
  5. #5
    $32

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