100NL Flop NFD + overcards vs. maniac

[nogenius]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG+1 ($47.85)
Hero ($100)
MP2 ($70)
MP3 ($120.35)
CO ($235.75)
Button ($83.40)
SB ($52.35)
BB ($163.20)
UTG ($172.90)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with A, Q.
UTG calls $1, 1 fold, Hero raises to $4.5, MP2 calls $4.50, 5 folds, UTG calls $3.50.

Flop: ($15) 5, 5, 2 (3 players)
UTG bets $9, Hero ???

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Villian is a loose 50/11 over 15 hands.

What's your move here?

[Miffed22001]

raise, you get a free turn unless he three bets you or flopped a boat

[Fnord]

Call, he thinks his pair is good.

[Ravageur]

I raise here. Villain is definitely not good enough to lead out with a boat, which means that you're leading anything under QQ and add a touch of fold equity into that and you want to play this hand strong.

I raise 3.5X his raise and bet any turn strong for 3/4 pot bet.

And since we're putting him on a mid-pair, any overcards + your agression will often get him off his hand on the turn or river, regardless of whether you made your hand or not which you will about 55% of the time.

[Genitruc]

other thing to consider is that this is likely a "lead into that fucker cuz he definitely missed that flop"

so he's likely gonna just let it go.

either that or he flopped a monster and even then you're only dead to a boat.

calling sux imo