Bad semi-bluff?

[2_Thumbs_Up]

UTG+1 is 30/10 over 50 hands.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

CO ($49.45)
Button ($49.95)
SB ($54.95)
BB ($44.40)
UTG ($57.39)
UTG+1 ($55.95)
MP1 ($54.20)
MP2 ($166.33)
Hero ($59.80)

Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8, 9. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $1, 2 folds, Hero calls $1, 3 folds, BB calls $0.50.

Flop: ($3.25) 9, 7, 4 (3 players)
BB bets $2, UTG+1 calls $2, Hero calls $2.

Turn: ($9.25) A (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 bets $4, Hero raises to $12, BB folds, UTG+1 calls $8.

River: ($33.25) 4 (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: $33.25

[zook]

I like it.

[freechus9]

I think I raise more to rep the A. 15ish, perhaps?

[Blinky]

It is OK in my book...

All the semibluff goodness and you pretty much set a price for showing down a passable hand.

Question though: to what size bet are you calling if bet into, on the river?

[bantam222]

I wouldn't be calling anything over $2-3 I'd think... You don't really beat any hands that would bet into you after showing so much strenght on the turn..

[2_Thumbs_Up]

Thanks everyone.

I think I raise more to rep the A. 15ish, perhaps?

That's reasonable. I think I have a leak of not raising quite big enough (for value and for bluffing). Raising to 15 would also make the pot bigger, so an all-in on the river in case I hit wouldn't be an over-bet.

Question though: to what size bet are you calling if bet into, on the river?

Not much. As Bantam said, if he does bet I'm not beating much.

[benny999]

Seems good, except as said, raising a bit more on the turn...overall the call flop, raise turn line looks really strong - like you have a set or two pair. If you hit on the river, you probably get paid big. Even if you don't, you could probably still have won by pushing when checked to (need to be a good judge of fold equity before doing that though).

[2_Thumbs_Up]

I didn't think he'd fold the river after the turn call. If anyone cares he had AK.

[benny999]

yea prob not since the board isn't too scary...but imo an aware villain would have a hard time calling a river push, at least if you have tag stats. then again they might just fold to your turn raise.

[givememyleg]

Can you fold him off of a weak ace on the river? Or perhaps AJ/AQ?

[benny999]

I was thinking anyone with AT+ who thinks you made a boat would fold, but them thinking you have a bigger hand then TPTK is the key part...prob not worth it here.