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 Huge river call on scary board - second pair -- ??
Villain is 33/9, pretty aggro postflop and has shown down a couple bluffs but nothing major. Also he is the type of player who doesn't make many thin value bets, which was one of the reasons why I looked him up. This is never a bare Q, and I wouldn't expect him to show me a set or two pair given the line he took. I also tend to think he would just make a standard value bet with a real hand as opposed to pushing, as most players wouldn't even consider calling his bet without a near nut hand. I'm only really fearing TJ, but that's a bit unlikely considering I have two J's in my hand. I'd be a bit more worried about a 7x diamonds hand that backed into a straight if anything, but again I think he would make a smaller bet if he had the hand he was representing.
The reason I bet the turn (probably too small in retrospect) was because I put him squarely on a draw, and if he did have a queen, this would probably net me a free showdown if neither of us were to improve on the river since I think he would check behind any Q type of hand on the river. Therefore making his river bets easier to decipher as a bluff or not.
Thoughts?
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
saw flop|saw showdown
MP ($201.25)
Button ($210.70)
SB ($242.23)
BB ($144.89)
Hero ($353.50)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with J , J . SB posts a blind of $1.
Hero raises to $7, MP calls $7, Button calls $7, 2 folds.
Flop: ($24) 5, Q, 9 (3 players)
Hero bets $16, MP folds, Button calls $16.
Turn: ($56) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $35, Button calls $35.
River: ($126) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button calls $210.70 (All-In), Hero calls $152.70.
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