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50NL JJ facing pot river bet

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  1. #1

    Default 50NL JJ facing pot river bet

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    SB ($78.15)
    BB ($64)
    UTG ($25.65)
    Hero ($52.25)
    CO ($33.50)
    Button ($65.10)

    Preflop: Hero is MP with J, J.
    1 fold, Hero raises to $1.75, 1 fold, Button calls $1.75, 2 folds.

    Flop: ($4.25) T, 3, 3 (2 players)
    Hero bets $3.5, Button calls $3.50.

    Turn: ($11.25) 2 (2 players)
    Hero bets $7, Button calls $7.

    River: ($25.25) 9 (2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $24, Hero ???

    ---

    Villian is about 65/19/0.6 over 35 hands.

    Do you make the river call, and what's your reasoning?
  2. #2
    Fold imo due to the lack of draws.... might want to blocking bet the river tho.
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  3. #3
    kmind's Avatar
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    I'd do a blocking bet hoping AT or KT calls
  4. #4
    LOL easy call.
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  5. #5
    I'd block bet too. as played I agree with iowaskins...
  6. #6
    gabe's Avatar
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    why didnt you bet river, this guy sucks
  7. #7
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    Why is this such an easy call? Opp is clearly super passive, so wouldn't the river bet signal strength?
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  8. #8
    villan was 65/20 over 35 hands, which can relatively well tell the guy sucks. I KNOW the sample size is small, but even with the huge margin of error the low end still wouldn't be good. AND even then he probably raises the turn with a 3.

    Also, with the fact that he is playing hard when he played so passive on earlier streets tells me he's weak since the river couldn't have nutted him without 99.
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  9. #9
    Why are we checking the river to this guy? What are we putting him on and what sorts of hands is he going to bet? Check behind?
  10. #10
    With our villian's line I don't think you'll see TT/99/QQ+/x3 here hardly ever. We're ahead, bet the river.

    Sometimes, though, against truly terrible players "that sense weakness with position and pound you because that's what they think they're supposed to do" this is a pretty good play. You're essentially checking to induce a bet. After 30 hands with villian I don't think we can have a read on him like that, yet, but this is an easy call regardless.


  11. #11
    I call and expect him to flip over top pair a whole lot here
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?

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