I maybe I found a leak - Story with pictures!!

[Irisheyes]

Ok so I was doing a bit of poker tracker research today for the laugh and I came across something interesting. This is from a sample of 50k hands at 200NL. Not a mad huge sample I know but possibly enough to indicate something?

This is all the hands where I played from the blinds. This doesn't include hands from when I just folded my blind to a raise. Basically it means that by playing the way I do I lose less money than I would if I just folded every hand from the blinds.


The next one is hands where someone tried to steal the blinds and I reraise them. This shows that my reraises are profitable though not by much. Also it's interesting to note that the only clear winners are TT+/AK.


And finally maybe the most telling one is when I look at hands where I called a blind stealing raise. I'm down a huge amount in these instances. Note that I had a quick look through the hands here and there is a good few coolers but also more medium sized pots lost than I'd like.


So eh ya. I dunno what I expect anyone to say about this but em there you have it anyway.

[Irisheyes]

I just checked out a sample of 200k hands from party poker 400NL and the average EV from 269 instances defending my blinds with AQ/KQ or AJ is +0.22BB/Hand.

[Irisheyes]

also 99/TT are in the red over 105 instances and JJ is +1BB/hand over 91 instances.

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

from what i understand 100k hands is the beginning of when your stats from certain positions actually start to resemble your "true" winrate (heard it during a sbrugby CR video). Im guessing with all pairs you would be a winner from the blinds so im going to say the sample size is just distorting these numbers.

[IowaSkinsFan]

I'm not that surprised by the results. With tight calling and stacking off ranges for opps, with the hands your losing money with you're getting it in with the worst a lot.