NL50 - overpair, ace hits on the river

[szamvan]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($30.40)
BB ($48.15)
UTG ($55.80)
Hero ($87.90)
Button ($35.30)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9, 9.
1 fold, Hero raises to $2, Button calls $2, 2 folds.

Flop: ($4.75) 4, 4, 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $3, Button raises to $6, Hero calls $3.

Turn: ($16.75) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $6, Hero calls $6.

River: ($28.75) A (2 players)
Hero bets $15, Button calls $15.

Final Pot: $58.75
what do you think?

[thizzSantaCruz]

you could block the river for a little less, maybe something like 8.

[szamvan]

I was trying to rep the ace, b/c he probably had an overpair which I thought he would fold cause the river is quite v-bet-like but then I should have probably just put him all-in cause he hadn't got much left.

[badgers]

If you're so sure that he has a better hand than you on the river that you want to turn your hand into a bluff, you should fold the turn. If that makes sense...

[Galapogos]

I was trying to rep the ace

You can't rep the ace here because there's no reason for you to have one.

[szamvan]

But if my opponent is a 0th level thinker than I can rep the ace. Or I can rep the ace if he believes that I am the usual micro-stakes fish who calls it down with AK. Ok my thinking is obv wrong b/c these are pretty heavy assumptions especially readless, just trying to play devils advocate. What line would you recommend? c/f river? It would be pretty tough to lay that down on the turn, I suspect I am ahead of his range (something like 22-TT, AQ, AJ (maybe) ). It turns out that this range is wrong, he had QQ and called river after timebanking. Maybe I shouln't assume that ppl are 3-betting PF with QQ?

[thizzSantaCruz]

you cant make blanket assumptions. think about how this player would play based on your stats you have on him from your HUD ( I hope you have one) and other things you have noticed about his play.

[szamvan]

you cant make blanket assumptions. think about how this player would play based on your stats you have on him from your HUD ( I hope you have one) and other things you have noticed about his play.

I don't have a HUD
not even PT
and I agree of course:

Ok my thinking is obv wrong b/c these are pretty heavy assumptions especially readless, just trying to play devils advocate.