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When Does Skill Become Important in FR?
Today I had a fleeting thought. When does actual poker skill start to become a factor when plaing full ring NL? I can beat 5 and 10 NL for around 10BB/100, and it's very mechanical - play pairs and high suited connectors, and push when you have the nuts (e.g. trips or better). Implied odds are huge.
I've come to realize that being "good" is not that important playing online micro stakes poker! I was watching Poker after dark tonight, and it was Doyle Brunson, Phil Hellmuth, and TJ Cloutier at the final table. TJ Cloutier said to Hellmuth something to the effect that you might win by holding the best hand, but you won't win by outplaying us. That's pretty much how you win online, holding the best hand - not by outplaying your opponents.
Suppose you start winning online after playing a fair number of hands, say 25K or more, and you never play above 50NL. Then you play a live $1/$2 cash game at a casino agains thinking players. What will happen? Grinding it out against good players isn't going to win you very much. Even worse, the thinking players start to recognize your betting patterns, and your screwed - they know went to fold to your raises and when to push you off a hand. Now you have to start playing real poker!
When do you need to stop playing mechanical poker online? When does grinding stop working? Can playing the mechanical poker system actually harm you're poker playing ability?
I think the problem is that you (I) get into a gear (the grinder gear) and never change it up. How and when do you change gears? And when do you need to?
Just some random thoughts. Maybe I can learn something from this.
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