100nl line check please

[meeloche]

Villain is 45/4/2.5 over small sample. He also has station like post flop stats.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

SB ($155.05)
BB ($46.20)
UTG ($100)
MP ($141.20)
CO ($100)
Hero ($194)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q, A.
1 fold, MP calls $1, CO calls $1, Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, MP calls $5, CO folds.

Flop: ($14.50) J, T, 9 (2 players)
MP bets $11, Hero raises to $29, MP calls $18.

Turn: ($72.50) 4 (2 players)
MP bets $20, Hero raises to $159

[bode]

seems fine with the extra outs you picked up.

[will641]

meh. youre fairly deep.i dont think that guy is going to fold much of anything to you after bet/calling flop and betting turn. i would say a pair and open ender is probably at the bottom of his range, and hes a donkey so i doubt hes folding .

[PokerSwede]

How about calling? I mean if we put him on a range of {TT-99, KQs, JTs, T9s, 87s, KQo, JTo, T9o, 87o } ie only made hands, we got about 30% on the turn. Since he called the raise and then bets out he probably (as mentioned, might be draw + pair) has a very strong hand, and won't ever fold to a raise and (especially not since he seems to be quite a donkey).
He'll probably bet out if a heart or a K comes and, a donkey as he is, will probably have a hard time folding his hand too. If we don't hit, we lose
55$...
Maybe I'm completely wrong, and it's very EV- but just a thought

[EzDuzIt]

just call the turn

[Ragnar4]

what did you estimate your FE to be? Has to be higher than 15% doesn't it?

[BigLRIP]

I don't really like raising the flop unless you have a read he leads weak. Turn I like calling better given action.

[silu73]

After the flop raise I just call the turn. He likes his hand and he is not folding his Top 2/set. You have many clean outs.