|
Ok time for some analysis before i go out of office today;
Say typical situation 100bb stacks, we are on BTN vs CO
CO opens 25% of hands from the CO position, 27% equals 22+,A2s+,K8s+,Q8s+,J8s+,T8s+,98s,87s,76s,65s,A7o+, K9o+,QTo+,JTo
Its a decent range to use in the CO esp. since im more than likely figured to be a nitTAG player (basically he can greatly discount my participation in the pot if he raises thus he may as well have the BTN)
So im thinking what can we do to take advantage of this guy postfop (im not gonna talk about 3 betting this guy but ill only include hands in my range that choose not to 3bet).
Say we call on BTN with top 15.7% which equals;
99-22,AJs-A2s,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,76s,65s,AJo-ATo,KTo+,QJo
Now Im calling with a very wide range with the intention of playing back at opponent is certain spots.
So the best way to playback is firstly to attack flops which he c/b's 100% of the time.
ie. Ks 9d 7c for example
He c/b's, Hero ???
Ok so lets figure what hands he will continue with should i raise;
99,77,KTs+,T8s,K9o+
which is 5.7% of his range, so he folds 78% of his range immediately on flop. Ok so this is a great spot for us to bluff raise obv BUT which of our hands are the best bluffing hands. Of course we can bluff with a ton of hands but which holdings are the best to bluff with based on equity to opp's calling range.
Our bluffing range here has 22% equity vs his calling range but lets analysis each holding specifically.
AJs-ATs,A8s-A2s,AJo-ATo have 16% equity
QTs+,JTs,65s,QJo have 22% equity
Other T9s,98s,87s,76s have 22.5% equity
So pretty much most of our calling preflop holdings fair fairly when when our bluffs are called.
On thing ive not discussed is calling with a view to showdown, well lets say that we would call with our strong hands 77 & 99 (obv kinda call since he folds way too often on flop, since he doesnt know that we can still hold strong hands when he raise), all our Kx holdings should call as well as some of our weaker one pair holdings.
Ill make up another one of these posts soon but from this example the fact we have a ton of gutshots and an Ace over works really well for us when we bluff. maybe ill try same holdings with different flop textures.
|