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KQ on AKQ board for stacks: 25nl
Villain is 32/7/3.5 over 100 hands. I've seen him 3bet and 2barrel relentlessly. I've been waiting to play deep stack poker in position.
$0.1/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG $70.96
Hero $37.05
CO $22.82
BTN $9.40
SB $11.03
BB $41.37
Pre-flop: ($0.35, 6 players) Hero is UTG 1 :Kc: :Qh:
UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.1, 4 folds, UTG calls $0.85
Flop: :Ac: :Kh: :Qd: ($2.55, 2 players)
UTG bets $1, Hero raises to $4.3, UTG raises to $15.1, Hero ???
Assuming any two broadway cards could be in his hand, PokerStove shows a coin flip:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 49.362% 45.70% 03.66% 119731275 9588779.00 { KcQh }
Hand 1: 50.638% 46.98% 03.66% 123073679 9588779.00 { TT+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
My reasoning went as follows. He wouldn't limp/call AA, KK, QQ, JJ or AK. So the only hands in his range that have me dominated are AQ and JT. But his betting makes weak broadways like QT unlikely, too. He obviously has some kind of draw to go with his hand, right? So should Hero shove here?
For the results: http://weaktight.com/176425
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