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Top pair, medium kicker facing pot-sized donkbet on flop
Hi everyone, I've been reading the forum for a while, just made an account.
Villain is 32/7/1 (it's VPIP/PFraise%/AF right?? I've always wondered) over 85 hands, I didn't use this information when I played the hand. He was playing loose-passive in the few hands I had seen on that table though.
Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
BB: $325.90
UTG: $61.70
UTG+1: $248.10
Hero (MP1): $196.05
MP2: $65.15
CO: $56.50
BTN: $30.80
SB: $82.95
Pre-Flop: J A dealt to Hero (MP1)
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, 3 folds, SB calls $3, BB folds
Flop: ($8) 6 A 9 (2 Players)
SB bets $8, Hero ??
Here are my thoughts:
This bet sort of froze me. Donkbetting always makes me do a double-take. It seems to disrupt the flow of a hand and never seems standard. I feel like it's much more common and useful in multi-way pots, where the pre-flop raiser is less likely to c-bet.
What, in your experience, does a bet like this usually mean? How would you proceed? Thoughts on pre-flop are also appreciated. My estimation of villain's range here is AK, AQ, AJ, weaker aces, 66, 99, flush draws, and combo draws, i.e. 7h8h. I think the sets are less likely since he'd probably try a check-raise with an A on the flop. I think the weaker aces are more likely since my first instinct was that this was a probing bet. Am I giving him too much credit? I can't believe he would donkbet bluff on this flop often. My first inclination was to raise about 3x his bet to show him some strength and also find out how strong he is.
Thanks.
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