AJ 100nl turn spot

[Da GOAT]

Opp was a kinda bad player, high ish about 30% VPIP, 12 pfr, 3bet% was highish for him at about 9% over few hundred hands. His AF was about 35%.much

Opp hasnt done much at all from what Ive seen, not involved to much.

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG jussila ($164.45)
CO Hero ($120.61)
BTN givmild ($605.97)
SB simen46 ($133.58)
BB jokkamin ($257.00)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 5 players) Hero is CO
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, 2 folds, jokkamin calls $2

Flop: ($6.50, 2 players)
jokkamin checks, Hero bets $5, jokkamin raises to $15, Hero calls $10

Turn: ($36.50, 2 players)
jokkamin bets $29, $29 to Hero ($102.61)?

[minSim]

why wouldn't you shove?

[GatorJH]

why wouldn't you shove?

Because the number of hands that we are ahead of and will call a shove + the number of hands that are beating us but would fold to a shove is not a very big number.

[bode]

why wouldn't you shove?

Because the number of hands that we are ahead of and will call a shove + the number of hands that are beating us but would fold to a shove is not a very big number.

this doesn't matter quite as much here as draws are a huge part of his range. 1 draw got there, but the low end straight draw is less likely to raise this flop than KQ/FD's. i like a shove here too.

[v diddy]

This is a good example of a hand where in the past I would shove and lose to a set or an over pair.

I agree about the draws in his range. Curious to see what others think here.

[yourfather]

Is it bad to call here and let him bluff the river when draws don't get there and call obv?

[al yell]

in a tough spot like this one without history/reads on villain, the following factors come into play in my decision making..

1) time spent at the table. How much longer do I plan sit at this table?
2) my image and/or the image i want to build/portray
3) my tolerance for variance
4) am i feeling particularly vulnerable to tilt

ex. if it's early and i want to LAG it up (having determined it is a profitable approach given the table dynamics) sitting on a comfortable roll and feeling focused.. I shove (prepared to learn I won't always have the best hand), make a note and move on.

[Da GOAT]

I shoved here, opp called with KQo

[ATOTHEC101]

I shoved here, opp called with KQo

Well played.