ITT You Evaluate My 3 Barrel

[aka_red]

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

saw flop | saw showdown

CO ($400)
Button ($406)
SB ($400)
BB ($483)
UTG ($482.20)
UTG+1 ($623.35)
MP1 ($400)
MP2 ($644.50)

Preflop: ACE JACK UNSUITed
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $8, 1 fold, MP2 calls $8, 3 folds, BB calls $4

Flop: ($26) 6, 4, J (3 players)
BB bets $20, UTG+1 calls $20, 1 fold

Turn: ($66) 4 (2 players)
BB bets $44, UTG+1 calls $44

River: ($154) 10 (2 players)
BB bets $120, UTG+1 raises to $551.35 (All-In), BB ?

i haven't been sitting that long villain is secr32 he runs like 12/10 i think this is a fold my image should not be too great though im more interested in if you think its too thin.

[Bad Beat]

It's hard to tell if your line is thin when we don't know your cards

[aka_red]

feexed

[bigspenda73]

I like flop+turn and don't mind the river as long as you snap-folded.

[Deanglow]

I would never lead the flop so idk. Against secr this is probably a slightlyyyyyyyy plusEV call

[daven]

i prefer river check call.

[bigspenda73]

i prefer river check call.

this seems bad

[Da GOAT]

leading flop is bad

weird how i think you've turned AJ into a bluffy hand vs a 12/10. bet sizing seems rly bad

imo i rly dislike everything.

once he calls turn your toast.

[BankItDrew]

There's no wai in a million years that I call this.

Da GOAT is right about the turn call... could have had TT at that moment but that's as weak as it gets. I put villain on AA, JJ, or TT.

[daven]

i prefer river check call.

this seems bad

now i gotta think some more

If hero bets river he's hoping that better hands fold or worse hands call, right. A nit-tag reg villain isn't calling this river bet with less than tptk. He's also unlikely to fold AJ. This is why i think betting is bad.

So checking makes sense.

Means that options are check-call or check-fold.
Hero's line is strong thus far, but looks like he's given up.

I note the argument that villain is unlikely to bet a worse hand when checked to, but I think this is over-stated. Villains bet rivers when checked to more often than they should - even when they have showdown value and should be checking behind. Also, if hero is happy putting in $120 as a bet with no value to be had out of it, then why not just as happily put in $120 with a hand that has showdown value. Gonna be ahead 1/3+ I expect?

check-folding feels too weak here.

as played i think he has to fold.

Why are we betting the flop so big?

[DoanDiggy]

Why are we betting the flop so big?

So we can set up a pot-sized shove on the river for villain?