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shove river?

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  1. #1
    will641's Avatar
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    Default shove river?

    villain is probably one of the better 400nl regs, pretty aggressive. it's blatant he doesnt have a nut hand or he would've squeezed the flop. pf raiser is pretty tight so i wasnt that concerned about getting squoze (word?), but even still pf is probably meh, but whatever.

    at this point i am just kind of confused. it looks like A9, JT, maybe T8.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $4.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (CO) ($483.70)
    Button ($406)
    SB ($418.70)
    BB ($427)
    UTG ($566.60)
    MP ($394)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 6, 8
    1 fold, MP raises to $14, Hero calls $14, 1 fold, SB calls $12, 1 fold

    Flop: ($46) 4, 7, 9 (3 players)
    SB checks, MP bets $33, Hero calls $33, SB calls $33

    Turn: ($145) Q (3 players)
    SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $112, SB calls $112, 1 fold

    River: ($369) Q (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero...
  2. #2
    No need to shove if 100-125 will do the trick vs that range
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  3. #3
    Good range analysis, I'd bet a little less than half pot I think your seeing T8/JT a hell of a lot, as well as 65 (if we thought 65 though only obv we'd check). The 7x that hit clubs on the turn or 9x/TT that didnt want to give up will prob fold too.

    Then again, he could make a hero call here since all your repping is sets, but multiway im not sure its likely.
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  4. #4
    If we thought 65 only, it'd be best to bet to induce a C/R bluff.

    Seeing as he C/C the turn OOP, I'd imagine his range is either combo draw/marginal made hand, with 1010 being at the top of his marginal made hand range.

    I'd also think his range is more combo draws than marginal made hands.

    I think 100-125 is your best bet here....you might fold out a few more marginal hands with a bigger bet, but he doesn't have them that often and he'd still likely call as your not repping that wide of a range.

    Also, whats the worst hand you would value bet here?

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