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Reply to : so many spots against tightasses spot
I just want to do some equity calculations in response to mxiu thread as i believe every player comes through this spot all the time and dread the decision as they go through the ranks.Easy or not depends on villains.Just want to start some discussion on some values.
Villain is 9/7/2 over 850 hands 29% fold to 3bet
Villain UTG open,Hero 3bet,Villain calls
Comes Flop :
7h,Js,3s
Villain's flop range is 22+,AKs
Assuming
Villain continues with 33,77,JJ,QQ,KK,AKs,AA = 17 combos
Villain doesnt continue 22,44,55,66,88,99,TT = 42 combos
17/42 = 40.5% calls and 59.5% folds
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.842% 52.77% 02.08% 12015 472.50 { AcAd }
Hand 1: 45.158% 43.08% 02.08% 9810 472.50 { JJ+, 77, 33, AsKs }
So what equity we need to break even?
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