TP2K facing river CR

[XTR1000]

Taggish opponent, playing a whole bunch of tables and makes smart ass comments in the chatbox about my play. Couple of orbits ago he check-called AJ on KQJ as pfc, check raised a 9 turn and bitched about how bad i am not folding KK there. I dunno if betting the river is cool in the first place, but he´s not folding AJ/AT/QJ I suppose.

$0.5/$1 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($127.60)
CO ($103.00)
Hero (BTN) ($141.05)
SB ($31.50)
BB ($21.50)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 5 players) Hero is BTN
UTG raises to $3.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $3.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($8.50, 2 players)
UTG bets $6, Hero calls $6

Turn: ($20.50, 2 players)
UTG bets $14, Hero calls $14

River: ($48.50, 2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $18, UTG raises to $68

[Galapogos]

Haha was this me? I've been bitching people out a ton in chat lately because I've been so bitter about my recent crash and burn.

Anyway, I don't think I bet river vs an UTG range that just double barreled this board. Plus he doesn't give you credit as a folder. Fold now as played.

[meeloche]

I want to call and go lol missed draw. cause I think he'd do that with recent chat history etc.

I think I call and expect to see either a missed flush draw or 888.

[dev]

V is probably expecting you to check back most made hands. Also, I think most people who will berate you for not folding top set there would continue to make the same mistake and blame it on you when his bluffs fail miserably.

with that history I could call him again because he's probably tilting and trying to make "plays" so he can then pity himself when people call him down

that said, his range is a lot stronger here because he was the one betting
he COULD have the nuts here
if you had bet all three streets and got c/r on the river he has a nut hand less often because a set or straight usually raise before the river to protect equity

with that consideration, your river bet looks really weak
it makes me want to raise too...

[oskar]

You're going to value bet most hands that you're going to call a river bet with, so a c/r with his nut hands is not a bad play there imo.

Unless I've seen him make river check-raises as a bluff before, I'd fold without too much pain.
A read on his bet sizing would be nice also, because he could make it $55 as a bluff and get pretty much the same results... against an unkown the $68 raise makes me think this is a value line even more.

I don't want to generalize too much - but if you go into HEM and filter for "called river c/r = true" - you're not going to see less than 2 pair all that often. It's almost never a bluff... people don't like to bluff with zero equity.