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 50nl: Barrel turn Ace here?
$0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($46.10)
CO ($57.70)
Hero (BTN) ($100.20)
SB ($50.00)
BB ($50.00)
Pre-flop: ($0.75, 5 players) Hero is BTN  
UTG calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $2, 1 fold, UTG calls $1.75
Flop:    ($7.25, 3 players)
SB bets $5, UTG folds, Hero raises to $12.40, SB calls $7.40
Turn:  ($32.05, 2 players)
SB checks, Hero ($85.55)?
Villain looks like a wannabe tag. This is about 80 hands into the session, he's around 17/11/1.5 so far. I'm not sure if I've seen him 3bet at this point (he cbet once in the 200 hands i played overall).
He's a little unusual in that as tight as he is, he's calling about 50% out of the BB (folding all SB's). He hasn't folded to many cbets (40% or so), but the couple hands I've seen at showdown he's had TP w/ decent kicker. These are the only showdown hands I've seen, but looking at stats he's gone to showdown almost 50%, and won a little over 50%. I know this is a small sample, but they still might be telling, if not entirely accurate.
If he's paying any attention, I'm probably seen as a little loose aggressive (not really, but compared to the rest of the table), but not crazy. I've also been stealing a ton (about 70% from BU), so he might be more likely to see me as laggy since it was his blinds I was stealing. fwiw, I'm 23/22/inf at this table.
This is the first time I've noticed him donking, and I usually raise here out of habit. I'm not always sure why (problem I know), but I know I don't want him doing this and thinking I'll keep folding if he does it more. I'm def. folding if he 3bets
When he calls on this flop I think he's got a pocket pair (and most are better than mine), maybe a connector with 5 in it, or high cards thinking i'm FOS and hoping to hit. He probably tosses his complete trash (he does fold 40%).
So I am ahead of some hands, but really confident I'm best.
When the Ace come on the turn the only hands he could have that like that are A high or A5. I'm not sure if he's going to fold many pairs though as he is stationy and at this point I'm basically repping I bluffed the flop and hit the turn if I bet. I'd guess he probably does fold any big cards could have possibly called the flop with if they didn't include the ace.
I thought it was prob just best to hope he is weak enough that he lets me see a free showdown.
Also, flop raise, good or bad on this flop against a this particular time donker?
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Now that I'm thinking about this more, I think he has a pretty polarized range here and I'm not sure that he'd continue to fire with the weak hands if called. This guy probably check/calls with 5x or low pairs. I now think that the best options here are to call if I think he bluffs often, or just fold (it feels so weak...yuck). If he fires again on turn I can easily fold (this is a cheaper way to find out he likely has a real hand if thats the case), and if not I probably bet for value/protection.
And now I see this post is a lot longer than I thought it would be, but I don't see any point in editing out any thoughts, just in case they are wrong.
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Originally Posted by Hawkfan79
