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88 overpair vs blind donk on paired flop - 100nl

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
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    Default 88 overpair vs blind donk on paired flop - 100nl

    villain here is relative unknown 33-12 over 50 hands thus far. His post-flop play seems pretty fishy but hard to tell so have to stereotype based on general feel.
    Pre-flop is standard.
    Most of bb's range is pairs and aces. Flop donk is rarely a 2 or 66 cos these type of players slowplay. So, say he's A6/33/44/55/77/88/99/TT/JJ. If he's weak he's likely to slow down on the turn with all of his range, but if I raise I am likely to get a call. Easy fold if he 3-bets. So, I want to get money in while I think I'm ahead and that makes a raise optimal here I think. How much?

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed)Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    SB ($24)
    BB ($133.55)
    UTG ($27.40)
    UTG+1 ($30.50)
    MP1 ($24.90)
    MP2 ($40.05)
    MP3 ($21)
    Hero (CO) ($100)
    Button ($24.15)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 8, 8
    3 folds, MP2 calls $1, 1 fold, Hero bets $4.50, 2 folds, BB calls $3.50, MP2 calls $3.50

    Flop: ($14) 6, 2, 2 (3 players)
    BB bets $6, 1 fold, what to do?
  2. #2
    Guest
    fuck raising, it might be barely EV+ on the flop, but it makes your decisions on later streets more difficult
  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by iopq
    fuck raising, it might be barely EV+ on the flop, but it makes your decisions on later streets more difficult
    +1, don't overcomplicate this one you said yourself you don't have a great feel of his post flop play
    3k post - Return of the blog!
  4. #4
    callcallcallcallcallcallcallcalclaclaclaclaclaclac lackslcka;lsck9icaclcall

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