200NL: AQ c/r'd by PFR'er

[d0zer]

Villain is 26/18/4 20% ATS over 150 55% c-bet.

Not really sure what to make of this c/r. From this mediocre tagg I'd expect it to either be some stubborn bluff or the nuts. On the river a bunch of hands get there, but the FD misses...still seems like a fold.




$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG twoscooprice ($200)
UTG+1 Hero ($214.05)
CO havrefrasse ($289.30)
BTN billyk_38119 ($197)
SB Susports35 ($488.15)
BB John Rumble ($90.40)

Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1
twoscooprice raises to $6, Hero calls $6, 4 folds

Flop: ($15, 2 players)
twoscooprice checks, Hero bets $10, twoscooprice raises to $26, Hero calls $16

Turn: ($67, 2 players)
twoscooprice bets $46, Hero calls $46

River: ($159, 2 players)
twoscooprice goes all-in $122, $122 to Hero ($136.05)?

[Ravageur]

fold river, there are too many Kc in his semi-bluffs to go along with the twopair/sets he has in his range. This isn't a great board to bluff on either.

[griffey24]

fold river, there are too many Kc in his semi-bluffs to go along with the twopair/sets he has in his range. This isn't a great board to bluff on either.

Yah I agree, this river is a huge disaster river and is definitely a fold.

Earlier streets are more interesting. The fact that he's UTG makes it kinda weird. I kinda still wanna ship turn though.

not sure why he'd take this kind of strong arm line with an overpair...

[Vi-Zer0Skill]

not sure why he'd take this kind of strong arm line with an overpair...

i sometimes check AA when HU on the flop if i raised in EP and opp is the type to bet at almost any pot where the PFR checks. as long as the board is the sort where my opponent thinks his range hits the flop at least as well as mine. c/r and turn bet sizing dependent on whether opp is more likely to have a draw or TPGK, and whether he will shove over a weak turn lead or call a 75% PSB with a draw on the turn.

i also rarely get three streets of value from an overpair at 25/50NL against the majority of regs, so missing a flop vbet isn't as bad as at higher stakes/stationy opps.

[Dragon Slayer]

I agree on River fold. Its just kinda one of those FML kinda spots. Sure looks alot like KJc