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 Originally Posted by JoeHaw
glad I posted it then. Elaborate please?
ok, then...
posting from the MP is bad. i know you said you already know this, but you prolly don't realize how bad it is. posting in MP means you pay 0.50BB's for the chance to play in two positions that aren't that profitable. let's say you run 10BB/100 from MP and run 3BB/100 from UTG, that means that this decision is gonna cost you (10/100 + 3/100) - .5 = -0.37BB's, over two hands, so that means you run -18.5BB's/100 over those two hands. that's pretty bad. In fact, if you run 6BB's/100 over the course of the next orbit, you still haven't made up for the one measly bb that you posted. so not only are you better off from a mathematical proftibility stand point waiting for the blinds to come to you in the next two minutes, you're actually better off waiting for the blinds to pass you and then come back around to you. and if you're table selecting properly (leaving tables that have no fish and changing tables a lot once you have a feel that one isn't good), then this habit can like actually affect your winrate pretty significantly. so it's not nit picking for me to say posting in the MP is really bad.
so once you post, you get sooooo fortunate by being dealt 66 just two off from the button. but you refer to your handy dandy FR preflop hand selection chart and are like "nah, i don't play 66 from UTG+1" and opt not to raise. well not only are you just 2 off from the BU, so you can DEF play this hand profitably, but you've already VPIP'ed, so your range should be wider anyway. so this is pretty bad. it's so easy to always know how far you are from the BU at 6m that it is truly silly to make any mistake along the lines of "i didn't realize it was 5-handed" or your "i didn't realize i wasn't playing FR"
then to highlight how absent-minded your check was, you actually still think it's profitable to call 4 more bb's OOP to a wide range. i assure you that if you had just open raised, there would have been no worse situation than being OOP, HU without the initiative to a wide range (because if CO knows anything, then he could be iso'ing J9o, 98o, A7o, and all sorts of other crap that has ZERO reverse implied odds, to your hand that is all implied odds). so if calling this big of a raise to be in this spot is profitable, then surely opening for 2 more bb's or something would have been profitable as well.
then comes the flop, and i truly that any of your choices in the world would have been better than your flop play here. your c/smallish raise is going to fold everything that you beat unless he decides to peel with overs (which still isn't great because we have no reads so we'll be in a really bad spot if he decides to bluff at any later streets and he even has like 25% equity anyway), and i don't see an unknown folding anything worse for a dollar more IP, and we give him the opportunity to 3b and get us off our hand with hands that we had our best implied odds against like sets and KK+, as well as the opportunity to 3b bluff us. so, we've manipulated his range as poorly as possible against our hand.
donking out is better than this play, but i don't really see why we can't just c/c since we have SD value and an ass ton of equity, might as well get a street of value from missed overs, and might as well not let him play is KK+, sets perfectly by raising us off our hand.
soooooo, that's why i don't like this hand[/b]
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