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89s Flops low straight, flush card river spot.

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  1. #1

    Default 89s Flops low straight, flush card river spot.

    Villain is 13/9 over 70 hands. He seems quite passive and has c bet 0/2 flops so far in this sample.

    I decided to just lead three streets to stop him checking back draws to better hands or pairs etc.

    This river is kind of annoying, not because I expect himto have a flush too often, but because I don't think hands like 2 pair are going to be calling that often. I hate hate hate my bet sizing here, it was thoughtless and lacked a plan, because it makes b/f meh and takes away a lot of his hands that could call say $13. Does b/f 13-14 sound okay?

    As played I still want to fold here because I doubt we're ever good more than 10% of the time or so.

    Thoughts?

    No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (4 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    UTG ($52)
    Button ($54.40)
    SB ($52.60)
    Hero (BB) ($50)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 9, 8
    1 fold, Button bets $1.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $1

    Flop: ($3.25) Q, 10, J (2 players)
    Hero bets $3, Button calls $3

    Turn: ($9.25) 5 (2 players)
    Hero bets $7, Button calls $7

    River: ($23.25) 3 (2 players)
    Hero bets $17, Button raises $42.90 (All-In), Hero?
  2. #2
    pocketfours's Avatar
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    River sizing is fine.
  3. #3
    Looks ok. I might have made it 15 but not much lesser than that.
  4. #4
    I don't think the river bet size was bad, maybe could go for a bit less. I think river fold here is good.
  5. #5
    Mr. Diamond's Avatar
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    I like flop sizing and I would probably bet something like 7,5-8,25 on the turn

    - on the river I'm betting 15-16 and folding to raise
  6. #6
    Bradley's Avatar
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    You say on the river hands like 2 pair aren't going to be calling often, so what's the value in betting?

    Anyone care to explain to me why a c/c on the river is not an option? If he hit the flush he's probably betting 15-18 for value so we lose the same amount as b/f but we actually get a showdown.
    2 pair hands are checking it back, but they're folding to most valuebets anyways on a wet board like this, so we don't lose value. All seems logic to me.
  7. #7
    A c/c is retarded because he never bets a worse hand and checks behind a lot of worse hands that might call a non-huge bet.
  8. #8
    Also since you agree all two pairs are checking back, what the hell are you c/c against and expecting to be +EV against? A random double street float with air from a nit on a dangerous board?
  9. #9
    well played, no way you call this though.
  10. #10
    Well played and now i'd fold.
    Check out the new blog!!!

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