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100nl Going for river c/r, FPS?

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  1. #1
    dev's Avatar
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    Default 100nl Going for river c/r, FPS?

    V is 18/16 who hasn't done anything exciting.

    Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    Hero (SB) ($206.25)
    BB ($31.55)
    UTG ($189.80)
    UTG+1 ($104.35)
    MP1 ($213.95)
    MP2 ($100)
    CO ($34.40)
    Button ($146.35)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 5, 5
    1 fold, UTG+1 bets $2, 4 folds, Hero calls $1.50, BB calls $1

    Flop: ($6) J, 5, 10 (3 players)
    Hero checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks

    Turn: ($6) 4 (3 players)
    Hero bets $5, 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $5

    River: ($16) J (2 players)
    Hero checks

    I figure he will bet a jack and missed draws. I only lose value from an oddly-played T or overpair. I gain value from the missed draws that bluff and maybe an extra bet from a J.
    Check out my self-deprecation here!
  2. #2
    bikes's Avatar
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    c/r here seems so std. esp if he hasnt done anything exciting and wont raise a faux blocking bet as a bluff.
  3. #3
    looks way better to bet out then a c/r here. You want to control the bet size here, and get max value instead of him valuebetting small / folding to a rr, or simply just check it down. Its just to easy of a fold for him with anything he holds.
  4. #4
    I think you can go either way
  5. #5
    depends on if there is more value from worse or more value from bluff catching. as hes never got a jack. your hand is clearly too strong to bluff catch. i think its clearly a bet. if you choose to bluff catch you obviously still c/r for value.
  6. #6
    bikes's Avatar
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    at stakes where this guy never has a hand, weighted towards AK, AQ mebbe once in a blue moon KQ and he's not good enough to raise a blocking bet i would almost always c/r

    if he was good enough to raise a blocking bet i'd bet like $6, and i hate that term but i find i only use it when describing faux blocking bets.

    so i think he's almost never calling a river bet so that leaves induce with a 'thin looking' vb or c/r
  7. #7
    nutsinho's Avatar
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    flattin ur 4bets, makin u tilt
    what do you mean "good enough to raise a blocking bet"? This is the definition of a spot where villain should never raise any hand he got here with when facing a river bet. The only type a small bet would be good against is nonthinking spastic retards who try to win every pot
    My bankroll is the amount of money I would spend or lose before I got a job. It is calculated by adding my net worth to whatever I can borrow.
  8. #8
    I bet this about 100% of the time
  9. #9
    gotta bet this, why would we think he would ever bet when checked too? he doesnt have a hand that can go for value plus i wouldnt count on him having many bluff hands. all u can hope for is he has some marginal hand.
    Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.

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