50nl- call river when he reps nothing?

[unclesteve]

Villain is 19/15 reg, with a spectacular 26AF over 300hands, idk how this is possible.

I flat pre coz he folds to 3b 83%, and I havn't been pounded on him hard or anything, so I don't expect him to adjust.

Cbets 83%, brls really often.

Cereus Network - $0.50 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

SB: $21.08
Hero (BB): $51.75
UTG: $50.00
MP: $57.40
CO: $64.07
BTN: $62.60

SB posts SB $0.25, Hero posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero has A J

fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $1.50, fold, Hero calls $1.00

Flop: ($3.25, 2 players) Q K 7
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.25, 2 players) T
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($8.25, 2 players) 2
Hero bets $6.12, BTN raises to $24.00, Hero ???

My flop call is terrible.

with that being siad, I expect him to brl all his FDs on the turn, so he doesn't rep much on this river, making it a call?

How would you guys feel about a flop c/r?

[Mr. Diamond]

with that being siad, I expect him to brl all his FDs on the turn

answer??


- huge cbet + wide range + impossible AF = profitable c/r w/ ATC

[JL]

He's not barreling Qx of diamonds.

Cbets 83%, brls really often.

If this is true, then why are you floating OOP? This is a leak against someone who barrels a ton unless you plan on calling down with A high.

Raise or fold flop.

[unclesteve]

I expect him to brl all his FDs on the turn,

This assumption may not be correct coz the turn card helps my range so much more than his.

[unclesteve]

If this is true, then why are you floating OOP? This is a leak against someone who barrels a ton unless you plan on calling down with A high.

My flop call is terrible.

.

[JL]

I don't read things that are bolded, apparently. haha

[Mr. Diamond]

This assumption may not be correct coz the turn card helps my range so much more than his.

Ok, then I agree w/ JL, that this is probably Qdxd. I can imagine, that the only hand he would play like this and its worse than yours is 22, but:
1) it's still questionable
2) and his river raise is so huge (seems nutted)

- lets say, that he has those 22 and all Qdxd (w/o Qd7d), and then if you take off rake from the pot I doubt you can profitably call -> so I like fold

[pocketfours]

Wait, so he has 26af over decent sample and we want him to call? That's a little optimistic imo.

Leading the turn here should be fun vs a guy like this.

[unclesteve]

Wait, so he has 26af over decent sample and we want him to call? That's a little optimistic imo.

Leading the turn here should be fun vs a guy like this.

That still makes absolutely no sense to me why he would ckbk the turn. Unless he's taking a super advanced play, then he's just gonna fire turn with his bluffs imo, and i don't think he takes this line with a value hand, sets/2p, he'll often be happy to flat the river imo.

Why do we wanna lead turn and create fold equity when we can chk and expect him to brl really often?

[pocketfours]

Unless he's taking a super advanced play, then he's just gonna fire turn with his bluffs imo

Exactly which hands should he expect you to fold to a turn barrel?

[shakesss]

whats his ATS and Raise 1st OTB? He probably has 300 hands on u as well so do u think he perceives u to be nitty? If he has a high ATS and Raise 1st OTB and he perceives u to be nitty then he probably checks back a lot more hands than usual that would include BDFD's and so b/f is probably good.