tt straights

[Zorkion]

Merge - $0.04 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 102.5 BB (VPIP: 19.35, PFR: 3.28, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 63)
MP+1: 254.5 BB (VPIP: 17.95, PFR: 11.84, 3Bet Preflop: 5.57, Hands: 976)
CO: 31 BB (VPIP: 21.53, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 145)
BTN: 256.75 BB (VPIP: 14.98, PFR: 9.48, 3Bet Preflop: 1.62, Hands: 918)
SB: 41 BB (VPIP: 14.53, PFR: 11.95, 3Bet Preflop: 3.66, Hands: 3,426)
BB: 135.25 BB (VPIP: 34.74, PFR: 11.58, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 96)
UTG: 123.5 BB (VPIP: 14.69, PFR: 9.92, 3Bet Preflop: 4.76, Hands: 526)
Hero (UTG+1): 102 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T T

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 9 4 J
BB checks, Hero bets 4.25 BB, BB calls 4.25 BB

Turn: (15 BB, 2 players) Q
BB checks, Hero bets 10 BB, BB raises to 20 BB, Hero calls 10 BB

River: (55 BB, 2 players) K
BB bets 55 BB, Hero calls 55 BB


thoughts on this hand? im especially interested in hearing about bet sizing

[OngBonga]

I'd probably fold turn, but definitely raise the river after hitting the K. He never has AT here after calling flop and minraising turn, so you have the nuts, and his stats are fishy enough that he might suck at board reading and snap call a set. It's certainly worth the extra rake we pay when we chop.

Sizing looks ok to me.

[griffey24]

I'd probably check back the turn. Don't see the need to turn TT into a bluff here.

[OngBonga]

I didn't even think about checking back turn. Yeah that's gotta be better than b/f.

[Zorkion]

thanks for the analysis. I meant to raise the river, but iirc, i thought he had put me all in.

why is it bad to bet the turn? isnt being aggressive with decent draws generally a good thing?

[griffey24]

thanks for the analysis. I meant to raise the river, but iirc, i thought he had put me all in.

why is it bad to bet the turn? isnt being aggressive with decent draws generally a good thing?

Sure but you don't have a draw, you have a made hand.

What better hands do you expect to fold? none of KQ/QJ/JT are folding and these are probably his most likely hands.

[d0zer]

isnt being aggressive with decent draws generally a good thing?

It's only a good thing if you have fold equity against better hands. I doubt you get a J to fold, so you're folding out a 9 which you already have beat.

[Zorkion]

It's only a good thing if you have fold equity against better hands. I doubt you get a J to fold, so you're folding out a 9 which you already have beat.

man, i really need to drill this into my skull.

Thanks for the help!