4bet bluff (LP dynamic)

[BorisTheSpider]

This might be another one of those hands where everyone better than me hates it Thought I'd post it, since sometimes I post stuff like this and everyone says "you suck", other times they like it, and I still am not always clear on the difference between these spots - I think this is a somewhat interesting one. I kind of suspect people will hate the flop, because I have no equity, but we'll see.

BTN is 32/27 over 60, highish 3bet, esp. on the BTN even though it's a small sample, it ties in with his vpip/pfr so I think it's a big enough sample to make a tentative early assumption that he is 3betting positionally quite a bit.

SB I don't even have a single hand on, but he's sitting short and cold calls a 3bet OOP, so unless we just walked into a very narrow part of his range, he's a fish.

Once the SB cold calls the 3bet, there's a ton of dead money, so I think given the wide range I assign to BTN, and the SB just flatting, it's a good spot to reraise.

If BTN calls the 4bet, I'd be done with the hand.

Once the SB flats the 4bet, I think I can add a bit more weight to my fishy read of him, and although he could be slowplaying AA/KK/QQ that's a very small part of his range so he can have a ton of junk here too.

Even against the fish I'd be done with the hand on a lot of flops, but this one is good for me. Obviously I have absolutely no equity, but it's really hard for him to hit the flop, if we give him something like [55-AA, any broadway, any suited ace] then he's likely to fold to a flop shove 70% of the time or better. I also incidentally think a fish can probably call with worse sometimes (XhXh no ace).

His stack size is also perfect - big enough to put pressure on, small enough to lay me a good price on shoving.

My line looks so strong, I think even a fish can fold an underpair here, maybe I shouldn't be assuming that?



Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $26.52 (106.1 bb)
SB: $16.80 (67.2 bb)
BB: $32.21 (128.8 bb)
UTG: $31.72 (126.9 bb)
MP: $27.83 (111.3 bb)
Hero (CO): $27.15 (108.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 3 A
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN raises to $2.25, SB calls $2.15, BB folds, Hero raises to $5.50, BTN folds, SB calls $3.25

Flop: ($13.50) J J 5 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $21.65 and is all-in (effective stacks $11.30)