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25nl: Need a river plan

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  1. #1

    Default 25nl: Need a river plan

    River c/f or otherwise? Btn is standard TAG and not seen him do anything unusual post-flop yet. Sb is new to the table but assumed passive fish (running ~40/10 over 10 hands).

    Hero (CO) ($25.91)
    Button ($25.57)
    SB ($30.99)
    BB ($20.85)
    UTG ($27.69)
    MP ($25)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with 8, 6
    2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, Button calls $0.75, 1 fold, BB calls $0.50

    Flop: ($2.35) 8, 10, 6 (3 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $1.68, Button calls $1.68, BB calls $1.68

    Turn: ($7.39) K (3 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $4, Button calls $4, 1 fold

    River: ($15.39) K (2 players)
    Hero????
  2. #2
    I think c/f is fine here, I don't see betting folding out enough and 8c6c is going to be one of your weakest hands on this board I'd assume.
  3. #3
    c/c looks okay considering a really big part of his betting range should be missed draws if he doesn't bet most Tx and he should rarely have Kx or sets. You'll be c/f a lot of draws here yourself on this river card and if you're not betting Tx on the turn then this hand makes sense as a c/c since you do want some c/c range here.
  4. #4
    c/c better than c/f. Sick runout.
  5. #5
    c/c was pretty much where I was at given the number of busted draws, but I think it's marginal. I'd definitely be c/calling 10x here, but 8x is tricky.

    What range of bet sizing would alter your plan though (if any)? I'm not going to love facing a bet that looks like pure value (i.e. 60% pot or less) and would probably be more inclined to call a bigger bet but less than pot - thoughts?
    Last edited by The Bean Counter; 10-10-2013 at 12:48 PM.
  6. #6
    I would probably bet harder on the turn, very drawy board.

    As played, c/c seems ok here. I think most Tx will check back.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jay-Z
    I'm a couple hands down and I'm tryin' to get back
    I gave the other grip, I lost a flip for five stacks

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