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Another "can we value jam the river" spot

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    Default Another "can we value jam the river" spot

    Villain is 11/8 over 200 hands. Seems reasonably aggressive postflop, but probably just because he always has such a strong range after nitfolding nearly everything pre.

    I'm aware people are going to say "why the turn check", and I'm open to thoughts on it, but my thinking is that he's a nit and a lot of what he continued on the flop with is liable to just fold the turn if I bet again. I think if I check back the turn, his QQ/JJ/TT etc. can probably bet blank rivers or call a small bet, wheras they just fold if I bet the turn. His AJ and AXs also might not call the turn, but probably bet (or call a small bet) on the river.

    River is another tough(ish) spot I think (nice to be in tough spots with boats huh?) - he's 11/8 ffs, when he raises the river I actually think I might even be beat quite often (but luckily a lot of the suited ace boat combos are blocked). Of course, in accordance with zeebo's law, I'm never folding.

    Can we value jam the river?

    Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

    BTN: $9.13 (91.3 bb)
    SB: $11.19 (111.9 bb)
    BB: $19.49 (194.9 bb)
    Hero (UTG): $19.14 (191.4 bb)
    MP: $23.05 (230.5 bb)
    CO: $10 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG with 6 6
    Hero raises to $0.30, 4 folds, BB calls $0.20

    Flop: ($0.65) 2 3 6 (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB calls $0.30

    Turn: ($1.25) A (2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks

    River: ($1.25) A (2 players)
    BB bets $0.90, Hero raises to $3, BB raises to $8.70
    Last edited by BorisTheSpider; 10-29-2013 at 08:41 PM.

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