[10NL] QTo...Line check

[Cobra_1878]

Villain's very first hand at table.

BU was fish, 31/20/6 (3bet) over 698 hands. FT3B 56%. FTCB 67%.

PokerStars - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: $10.77
Hero (BB): $11.34
UTG: $4.24
MP: $10.76
CO: $10.00
BTN: $8.98

SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10, CO posts DB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.25) Hero has T Q

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, fold, Hero calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.65, 3 players) T 9 Q
Hero bets $0.50, CO raises to $1.00, fold, Hero raises to $2.50, CO raises to $5.00, Hero raises to $11.14 and is all-in, CO calls $4.80 and is all-in

Turn: ($20.25, 2 players) 9

River: ($20.25, 2 players) 3

How does my range look for villain?

Board: Td9dQs
Equity Win Tie

CO 47.67% 44.38% 3.29% { 99+, AJs, KJs, QTs+, JTs, T9s, AdKd, AdQd, KdQd, Ad8d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KJo, QTo+, JTo, T9o }

BB 52.33% 49.04% 3.29% { QhTs }

[Savy]

No idea about the range but AJs seems unlikely.

I also think x/r is the better line to take on this flop although I like the flop sizing as an exploitative play (maybe even 55c) if you are going to donk.

[OngBonga]

I think I'd be looking to c/r this flop, our relative position is great for such a move because CO will cbet and the fish call pretty damn often, maximising our value.

I'm not thrilled getting it in on this flop though. When he stands his ground, he unlikely to have AK AQ. But we beat his overpairs. I'd give him 99-AA KJ. I'm not sure we're holding up well against this range, his overpairs have plenty of outs too.

I think c/r/f flop, or as played fold to his 4b.

[Renton]

I like a c/r also. Def have no problem with getting this hand in vs a big blind poster, but you'll be beat a good bit.

At a glance your range looks ok but I think the poster dynamic is really hard to quantify here. Also sometimes you just have top two pair on a mega wet board vs probably a fish. If this hand happened vs a tough reg at 2/4 you'd probably be in bad shape vs his range and shouldn't 3-bet the flop at all.

[sam1FTR]

Yeah I would definitely be looking to c/r this flop, since the opponent was the aggressor preflop and will probably continue with a lot.

I also would probably just call the re-raise post-flop, not many hands can keep going that are losing to you.

[daven]

getting it in with top two here looks good.

it's hard to form a range with no reads.
I guess the read is that he posted (more likely fish than not)

i think you're missing Q9, J9, KQo/s, QJo/s, and AQ from the range you posted. Also, the KK/AA part of 99+ is pretty unlikely based on no 3b pre.

[Cobra_1878]

Surprised by all the c/r responses I have to say. I figured with the board being so wet if it got checked around and a bad turn card hit I would hate myself. Then again, because the board is so wet it's probably more likely that they will bet so maybe bad thinking on my part.

Thanks for responses.

[OngBonga]

I missed that villain posted the blind on CO. And I missed flush draw too. Yeah I'm happier to gii now, I can add QJ Q9 AQ and pretty much any combo draw.

[OngBonga]

Also, the KK/AA part of 99+ is pretty unlikely based on no 3b pre.

Daven, CO is villain and he minraises, he can't 3b.

[daven]

Daven, CO is villain and he minraises, he can't 3b.

oops, good point