3Betting from the Blinds

[Openside]

Villain is 21/16/20 3bet, 46% AttSteal, 37% fold to cbet, over 114. Seems to be aggressive pf but haven't seen him do anything crazy. Small sample size.

I think 3bet here pf is standard. Yes? When he calls i think his range is predominantly JJ+, AJo, AJs, against which we are 50/50 so i think we Cbet this flop and shut down on future bricked streets. Sizing $1.5-$1.75? My hesitation is my read on 10NL is that 3bet restealing is rampant. On such a dry board my line is expected by any thinking reg. Could this be exploited by villain floating flop and betting checked turn on dry boards? I think a villain here puts us on a polarised range; top card or KK+. All of which Cbets based on board texture. Would c/r here be horrible? My thinking is a c/r looks like we are extracting value and our perceived range isn't so polarised.

Edit: Or if we Cbet flop are we needing to Cbet turn for our line to be consistent?

Is this all just bs and fps and i am just leveling myself?


Attempt at calculating EV - we bet $1.75, villain folds 37% of the time and if he calls we lose the hand (63% [i am assuming we lose if called, folding to future action to simplify the calc.])
We bet 1.75 and villain folds we win $2.50
We bet and villain calls and we lose our cbet $1.75 (bc of our assumption)

EV = (2.5*0.37)+(-1.75*0.63)
=0.925 - 1.1025
= -0.1775

Thoughts?


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://poker-tools.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

MP2 ($6.49)
CO ($14.97)
Button ($11.65)
Hero (SB) ($10)
BB ($10.98)
UTG ($14.41)
UTG+1 ($13.72)
MP1 ($10)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K, A
4 folds, CO raises to $0.30, 1 fold, Hero raises to $1.20, 1 fold, CO calls $0.90

Flop: ($2.50) 10, 10, 2 (2 players)

[micro4life]

ok my friend
3betting AK in these position is standard (esp vs someone who looks like a reg)
your 3bet size might be little too big (for my taste)
range you are giving him to call your 3bet with is too tight .. in position ppl flat suited connectors, a lot of broadways , suited connectors, some suited gappers etc...

also when you decide to cbet this flop in some way you are cbetting for value as you should be expecting (on this board) to get flatted by a lot of broadways (2 overcards , acehighs , backdoors etc.. ) that you are ahead of . Depending on your opponent you could go for a x-call if you think he is going to overbluff when check to on this flop. If you think he is going to float a lot and try to exploit you on turn then why not cbet flop , x-call turn. I know Ace high doesn't look so strong but in reality his range should be wide enough that your hand has good equity to continue with. For sizing your cbet I don't think you need to go over 1/2 pot. X-raise sucks because you are turning your hand into bluff as hands that beat you will call or jam or whatever and hands that we beat will just mostly fold

[Keith]

3bet size looks fine as you will be OOP for the rest of the hand and he may just fold any flops he misses with suited connectors etc so charge him a bit more pre to compensate. Since his 3bet% is quite high some more appropriate stats for this position would be his 4bet%, fold to 3bet % which will help to formulate his flop continuing range and then lead on to how to proceed against his range(s).

[matiusaa]

3bet is perfect and you have to cbet this flop because not many of his hands have hit this flop, AK,AQ and AJ didn't hit, maybe KQ. Also, if you do get called it is easy to put him on a pp or AT or 9T or TK maybe, or a flush draw