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 Originally Posted by JeffreyGB
Why check-raise (what a reraise would be) rather than simply raising to begin with? I don't see the point, save spending more money when you're behind (unless having a specific read on a player).
The point is that it's a stronger move. Anyone who actually flopped trip queens here would probably check-raise. You have a good hand, but you're repping a better one. The odds of him having a hand that he can call or re-raise you with aren't that great... basically if he has aces, kings, or AQ (or maybe KQ) he can call your check-raise, or even re-raise you. But if he has tens, nines, AK, AJ, he's folding.
You mentioned spending more money, but this really is an interesting hand for the specific reason that he bet that dangerous flop. Your check-raise is going MOST likely inspire one of two actions:
1. A big fat re-raise, in which case you can safely fold
2. A fold
If he puts money in the pot here with AK (which is in my opinion his most likely holdings) and then you check-raise him, you're spending more to make more. He's going to fold, unless he's stupid, so you're gaining from his attempt to steal. So not only does the check-raise put you in a stronger position, but it also gains you more. The only question is how likely you think it is that he doesn't have the queen, and if you believe it's +EV to check-raise here. Personally i think it's about 50/50 that he has the queen or a higher pocket pair (which he won't fold), vs. having a lower pair or a no pair, no queen hand such as AK. So if you've got a $5 pot approx pre-flop, and he bets out $3 (a pretty typical continuation bet) on the flop, then you check-raise - let's say you raise from $3 to $6:
1. half the time you gain $8 ($5 pot + his $3 bet)
2. half the time you lose $6 (your call + raise; we're not including the existing pot as a loss), when he calls or re-raises
Looks like a positive expectation to me, although it will be frustrating when he plays back at you and you have to fold. And of course, I'm just guessing that he'll fold half the time. More experienced players should weigh in with their opinions on that.
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