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 Originally Posted by spino1i
what if an A shows on the river? What if he's semi-bluffing and drawing to a straight?
In both those situations smooth-calling on the turn is a bad idea. And who would think a queen (with crap kicker too lol) would play so aggressive? I dunno the hand was kinda strange lol
The only reason a river ace would be a scare card is if you put villian on JT or AA. We can rule out AA, so that only leaves JT. If villian really likes to bet his draws hard (especially on a paired board), then I guess JT is a possibility, but that is the only drawing hand you are worried about. I mean in every situation you can pretty much find some sort of draw that is a possibility, but if you always play in fear of these draws by pushing super hard with your big hands to discourage drawing, then I believe you lose value in the long run. Against thinking opponents sometimes you have to give that free card once in a while to conceal the strength of your hand. Anyway, the fact that you have position on villian is more of a reason for smooth calling. If an A or 9 hits, you can see what he does first. But this will only happen 15% of the time, so 85% of the time you can pick off his desperate bluff, or throw in a nice value bet. Also, why do you think "slowplaying" by smooth calling the turn is such a bad idea when you're an 85% favorite?
Aside, I think pushing the turn like you did is only profitable against donkeys that have the "he's bluffing syndrome". Instead of pushing, I like raising to $30 or so (minraise here wouldn't be so bad either). That way if he is semibluffing, you make him pay for his draw, but not blow him out of the water with a push. You might also get a Q to come along. But to me smooth calling the flop and raising the turn screams "I have a king!" which is why I like smooth calling the flop and turn or raising the flop hard and checking the turn maybe. I think it better conceals your hand (which I don't think is as vaunerable as you do ignoring the results).
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