Ok, I'm a overagressive fish.

[johnny_fish]

Saw Villain call a 5BB raise UTG+2 with K7s earlier, so my conservative guess is he's not a great player.

** Game ID 669025277 starting - 2006-02-01 01:54:58

** Beast of Burden [Hold 'em] (1.00|2.00 No Limit - Cash Game) Real Money

- stk214 sitting in seat 1 with $56.00
- TURELLI sitting in seat 2 with $149.48
- Gandalf2000 sitting in seat 3 with $51.90
- quinzby sitting in seat 4 with $277.57
- Hammytime sitting in seat 5 with $183.20
- SunTzu sitting in seat 6 with $87.00 [Dealer]
- CrazyOdd sitting in seat 7 with $84.33
- johnny291281 sitting in seat 8 with $207.30
- Knuttn sitting in seat 9 with $230.85
- MsDeal sitting in seat 10 with $197.00

CrazyOdd posted the small blind - $1.00
johnny291281 posted the big blind - $2.00

** Dealing card to johnny291281: Jack of Diamonds, King of Diamonds

Knuttn folded
MsDeal folded
stk214 raised - $4.00
TURELLI called - $4.00
Gandalf2000 folded
quinzby folded
Hammytime folded
SunTzu folded
CrazyOdd folded
johnny291281 called - $4.00

** Dealing the flop: Ace of Diamonds, 2 of Diamonds, Jack of Spades

johnny291281 checked
stk214 checked
TURELLI bet - $6.00
johnny291281 raised - $15.00
stk214 folded
TURELLI raised - $24.00
johnny291281 raised - $87.00
TURELLI went all-in - $121.48
johnny291281 called - $145.48

[Genitruc]

Would you have played this any slower against someone you thought was a stronger opponent?

If yes, how so?

I'm guessing he wasn't sitting on a set, but probably 2 pair?...

[ProZachNation]

If you know hes a bad player than why cannt you put him on AX where you are behind and going all in with not the best hand?

[Irisheyes]

pokenum  -h jd kd  - ah th  -- ad 2d js 
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing Js Ad 2d
cards  win   %win  lose  %lose  tie  %tie     EV
Kd Jd  493  49.80   497  50.20    0  0.00  0.498
Ah Th  497  50.20   493  49.80    0  0.00  0.502

meh...

Although your FE is mnimal against a loose player and his other possibles include 22 and A2 so yeah, -EV

[johnny_fish]

I should have just called his reraise, because it made AA/AJ/AK much more likely. So both pot equity and fold equity were smaller than I initially thought.. I took a lot of bad beats yesterday which made me a bit too aggressive. Live and learn..

Results: AA, which held up.

Board: Ad 2d Js

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 51.0101 % 51.01% 00.00% { KdJd }
Hand 2: 48.9899 % 48.99% 00.00% { Ah5s }

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 43.3838 % 42.93% 00.45% { KdJd }
Hand 2: 56.6162 % 56.16% 00.45% { AhKs }

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 29.1919 % 29.19% 00.00% { KdJd }
Hand 2: 70.8081 % 70.81% 00.00% { AhAs }