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+EV river decisions?

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  1. #1
    johnny_fish's Avatar
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    Default +EV river decisions?

    River bets confuse me.. Should I bet/fold, bet/call or check/call.

    Prima Poker skin
    No Limit Holdem Ring game
    Blinds: $1.00/$2.00
    9 players
    Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $31.20
    UTG+1: $196.73
    MP1: $316.15
    MP2: $156.00
    MP3: $490.48
    CO: $213.72
    Button: $108.32
    Hero: $716.70
    BB: $198.00

    Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is SB with A K
    5 folds, CO raises to $4, Button folds, Hero raises to $13, BB folds, CO calls $12.

    Flop: 8 2 K ($27, 2 players)
    Hero bets $16, CO calls $16.

    Turn: J ($59, 2 players)
    Hero bets $30, CO calls $30.

    River: J ($119, 2 players)
    Hero bets $50, CO calls $50.

    Results:
    Final pot: $219

    Prima Poker skin
    No Limit Holdem Ring game
    Blinds: $1.00/$2.00
    9 players
    Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $193.00
    Hero: $582.50
    MP1: $197.75
    MP2: $345.45
    MP3: $148.00
    CO: $180.40
    Button: $191.15
    SB: $376.18
    BB: $195.55

    Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is UTG+1 with Q A
    UTG calls $2, Hero raises to $8, 3 folds, CO calls $8, 3 folds, UTG calls $8.

    Flop: 7 J Q ($27, 3 players)
    UTG checks, Hero bets $18, CO calls $18, UTG folds.

    Turn: 4 ($63, 2 players)
    Hero bets $45, CO calls $45.

    River: J ($153, 2 players)
    Hero checks, CO checks.

    Results:
    Final pot: $153
  2. #2
    A check on both hands IMO is the right play. Check-fold/Check-call just fine with me.

    Hand1. 3 hearts worries me. He had pot odds on your flopbet
    Hand2. the board paired.
  3. #3
    hand 1:
    I'd raise a bit more on the flop with that flush draw out. Around $20-$22. But I don't think your bet is too bad either. You don't want to scare him too much with what seems to be a great flop there. And I think he paid too much preflop to consider him holding a pp that might have hit a set.

    But the turn scares me.. your bet is good, but I'm thinking what he could have to call you there. He obviously has something.. but what? AA/KK got you beat. Calling the flop, ok maybe he thought c-bet or something, but calling the turn.. he'd have to have KQ? Or maybe he has AK of his own. I'd check/fold or check/call if it's not too high. But I don't like that raise really.. seems like you'd be lucky to tie here.

    hand2:
    I'd be a little worried about QJ maybe, but I think you did the right things on this one. I think he has KQ here.

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